What do we know about the future of foresight modeling related to food systems?

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dc.creatorWiebe, Keith D.
dc.creatorMosnier, Aline
dc.creatorMason-D'Croz, Daniel
dc.creatorPetsakos, Athanasios
dc.creatorSvensson, Johannes
dc.creatorZurek, Monika
dc.date2025-07-21
dc.date2025-07-07T20:58:47Z
dc.date2025-07-07T20:58:47Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:16:56Z
dc.description“Foresight modeling” is thinking about the future using a simplified representation of reality to inform choices we make today. Quantitative foresight modeling is increasingly used to inform decision-making related to food systems by analytically exploring alternative possible futures in a world that is becoming more complex and uncertain. Foresight modeling is improving in coverage and resolution, but various technical and institutional gaps remain. Artificial intelligence can help gather and synthesize information to improve foresight modeling, but it cannot replace the role of human expertise and foresight in testing assumptions and helping to shape the future. To be most effective, quantitative foresight modeling needs to be better linked with qualitative foresight approaches and complemented by engagement with decision-makers in an ongoing and systematic process.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175535
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/99841
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175019
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceWiebe, Keith D.; Mosnier, Aline; Mason-D'Croz, Daniel; Petsakos, Athanasios; Svensson, Johannes; and Zurek, Monika. 2025. What do we know about the future of foresight modeling related to food systems? In What do we know about the future of food systems? eds. Keith Wiebe and Elisabetta Gotor. Part Four: What Do We Know About the Future of Foresight Data and Analytical Tools? Chapter 37, Pp. 223-229. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175535
dc.subjectartificial intelligence
dc.subjectfood systems
dc.subjectmodelling
dc.subjectclimate models
dc.subjectgrowth models
dc.subjecteconometric models
dc.subjectdecision-support systems
dc.titleWhat do we know about the future of foresight modeling related to food systems?
dc.typeBook Chapter

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)