Agriculture and Trade Opportunities for Tanzania : Past Volatility and Future Climate Change

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dc.creatorAhmed, Syud Amer
dc.creatorDiffenbaugh, Noah S.
dc.creatorHertel, Thomas W.
dc.creatorMartin, William J.
dc.date2012-12-07T23:13:56Z
dc.date2012-12-07T23:13:56Z
dc.date2012-07
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:35:45Z
dc.descriptionGiven global heterogeneity in climate-induced agricultural variability, Tanzania has the potential to substantially increase its maize exports to other countries. If global maize production is lower than usual due to supply shocks in major exporting regions, Tanzania may be able to export more maize at higher prices, even if it also experiences below-trend productivity. Diverse destinations for exports can allow for enhanced trading opportunities when negative supply shocks affect the partners' usual import sources. Future climate predictions suggest that some of Tanzania's trading partners will experience severe dry conditions that may reduce agricultural production in years when Tanzania is only mildly affected. Tanzania could thus export grain to countries as climate change increases the likelihood of severe precipitation deficits in other countries while simultaneously decreasing the likelihood of severe precipitation deficits in Tanzania. Trade restrictions, like export bans, prevent Tanzania from taking advantage of these opportunities, foregoing significant economic benefits.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/07/16506726/agriculture-trade-opportunities-tanzania-past-volatility-future-climate-change
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/11947
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6132
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/406934
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper; No. 6132
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectADVERSE CLIMATE
dc.subjectAGGREGATE DEMAND
dc.subjectAGGREGATE LEVEL
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectALLOCATION
dc.subjectANNUAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS
dc.subjectBENCHMARK
dc.subjectBENCHMARKING
dc.subjectCHANGES IN PRICES
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE ANALYSIS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE DETECTION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATE CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE EFFECTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE EXTREMES
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELING
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE OUTCOMES
dc.subjectCLIMATE POLICY
dc.subjectCLIMATE PREDICTIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE SHOCK
dc.subjectCLIMATE SYSTEM
dc.subjectCLIMATES
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGE
dc.subjectCO
dc.subjectCO2
dc.subjectCOMMODITY MARKETS
dc.subjectCONSTANT ELASTICITIES
dc.subjectCONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
dc.subjectCONSUMER PREFERENCES
dc.subjectCONSUMERS
dc.subjectDAMAGES
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subjectDISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRICE
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRODUCTION
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subjectECONOMIC BENEFITS
dc.subjectECONOMIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACTS
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
dc.subjectELASTICITY
dc.subjectELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectEMISSIONS SCENARIOS
dc.subjectEXCESS DEMAND
dc.subjectEXCESS SUPPLY
dc.subjectEXPORT BANS
dc.subjectEXPORT GROWTH
dc.subjectEXPORT PARITY
dc.subjectEXPORT PERMITS
dc.subjectEXPORT RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectEXPORT TAX
dc.subjectEXPORT VALUE
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectEXTREME CLIMATE EVENTS
dc.subjectEXTREME DRY
dc.subjectEXTREME EVENTS
dc.subjectEXTREME HEAT
dc.subjectFREE TRADE
dc.subjectFUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGCM
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATIONS
dc.subjectGLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectGLOBAL MEAN TEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE FORCING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS
dc.subjectGROWTH RATE
dc.subjectHIGH TEMPERATURES
dc.subjectHURRICANE
dc.subjectHURRICANE FREQUENCY
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIMPORT PARITY
dc.subjectIMPORT PRICE
dc.subjectIMPORT RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectIMPORT SHARE
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLOWER PRICES
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectNEGATIVE IMPACTS
dc.subjectNEGATIVE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectOPEN ECONOMY
dc.subjectPERFECT COMPETITION
dc.subjectPOLICY RESPONSE
dc.subjectPOTENTIAL OUTPUT
dc.subjectPP
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectPRICE DECLINES
dc.subjectPRICE EFFECT
dc.subjectPRICE INCREASE
dc.subjectPRICE INCREASES
dc.subjectPRICE VOLATILITY
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectRAIN
dc.subjectREGIONAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectREGIONAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
dc.subjectRELATIVE PRICES
dc.subjectRESOURCE ECONOMICS
dc.subjectSCENARIOS
dc.subjectSEASONAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectSUBSISTENCE AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectSUBSTITUTION
dc.subjectSUBSTITUTION EFFECT
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE EFFECTS
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE RISES
dc.subjectTOTAL OUTPUT
dc.subjectTRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectTRADE BARRIERS
dc.subjectTRADE DATA
dc.subjectTRADE DISCIPLINES
dc.subjectTRADE FACILITATION
dc.subjectTRADE INTEGRATION
dc.subjectTRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectTRADE MODEL
dc.subjectTRADE POLICIES
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY ENVIRONMENT
dc.subjectTRADE REGIME
dc.subjectTRADE REGIMES
dc.subjectTRADE RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectTRADING PARTNERS
dc.subjectUNCERTAINTIES
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE
dc.subjectWTO
dc.titleAgriculture and Trade Opportunities for Tanzania : Past Volatility and Future Climate Change

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