Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting

dc.creatorBrittain, Lee
dc.creatorGarcia, Philip
dc.creatorIrwin, Scott H.
dc.date2017-04-01T13:58:05Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T05:36:21Z
dc.descriptionThis paper examines returns from holding 30- and 90-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. Implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized volatility, with bias most pronounced in live cattle. While significant returns exist from several positions, strategies are strongly affected by drifts in futures prices. However, returns from live cattle puts are persistent, and evidence from 30-day straddle returns indicates the live cattle market overprices volatility. Overpricing is consistent with volatility risk, the effect of which is magnified by extreme market conditions.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.105515
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/105515/files/JARE_Apr2011__03_pp28-47_Garcia.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/105515
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/565910
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/105515
dc.titleLive and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting
dc.typeText

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