Survival of the Fittest?

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dc.creatorChomitz, Kenneth
dc.creatorKoenig, Pierre-Yves
dc.creatorMelancon, Guy
dc.creatorRenoust, Benjamin
dc.date2016-04-26T16:02:53Z
dc.date2016-04-26T16:02:53Z
dc.date2016-03
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:51:23Z
dc.descriptionAbout a third of development projects fail to achieve satisfactory outcomes, according to agencies' independent evaluation units. To a large extent, these outcomes appear to be baked into projects at their inception due to inadequate project design or relevance. This prompts questions about the diffusion of project design concepts: To what extent are better-designed or better-performing projects more likely to be emulated? Do factors of bureaucratic or political attractiveness -- such as ease of set-up and rapidity of disbursement -- play a role? To address these questions, this paper explores the use of methods from network science. It constructs a network graph of the relationship among the components of all World Bank investment projects initiated from 1996 to 2014, based on the semantic similarity of the component descriptions. It uses the network to assess the characteristics of projects that are more 'prolific' in the sense of having closely related followers, and as tool for visualizing diffusion of design concepts. This illustrative exercise defines a measures of project 'influence' on subsequent projects and tests simple, nonexclusive hypotheses about the determinants of influence. It finds no significant impact of project outcome or quality of entry (as independently rated) on 'influence.' Nor does ease of project preparation (as proxied by time from concept note to effectiveness) have any significant effect. However, very small projects (less than $10 million) have markedly lower 'influence' on average. This finding may have implications for the usefulness of small projects as pilots for subsequent scale up.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/03/26077053/survival-fittest-using-network-methods-assess-diffusion-project-design-concepts
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/24144
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-7601
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/412017
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 7601
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectPROJECT MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectCOMMUNITIES
dc.subjectSUPERVISION
dc.subjectACCOUNTING
dc.subjectINSPECTION
dc.subjectECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
dc.subjectSOFTWARE
dc.subjectRESULTS
dc.subjectSEARCH
dc.subjectDESCRIPTION
dc.subjectINTEREST
dc.subjectVALUE
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT BANKS
dc.subjectBANK
dc.subjectPROJECT MONITORING
dc.subjectNETWORKS
dc.subjectEVALUATION GUIDELINES
dc.subjectINFORMATION
dc.subjectNETWORK MODEL
dc.subjectMANAGEMENT SYSTEM
dc.subjectMONITORING
dc.subjectIMPLEMENTING AGENCY
dc.subjectMENU
dc.subjectSTANDARD FORMAT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectYOUTH
dc.subjectINCENTIVES
dc.subjectTRANSMISSION
dc.subjectFISCAL YEAR
dc.subjectVARIABLES
dc.subjectPROJECTS
dc.subjectPROJECT
dc.subjectMARKET
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS
dc.subjectQUALITY
dc.subjectPILOT PROJECTS
dc.subjectADMINISTRATION
dc.subjectOPEN ACCESS
dc.subjectRESULT
dc.subjectTARGETING
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectICR
dc.subjectTHEORY
dc.subjectINFLUENCE
dc.subjectBUSINESS
dc.subjectNETWORK
dc.subjectSTATISTICS
dc.subjectEVALUATION
dc.subjectBANDWIDTH
dc.subjectRISK
dc.subjectMULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS
dc.subjectDESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
dc.subjectOPEN-SOURCE SOFTWARE
dc.subjectFAILURES
dc.subjectLENDING
dc.subjectCRITERIA
dc.subjectSOFTWARE PACKAGE
dc.subjectPROJECT EVALUATION
dc.subjectINTERVENTIONS
dc.subjectLEARNING
dc.subjectDATA ACCESS
dc.subjectRESEARCH
dc.subjectDONOR AGENCY
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
dc.subjectDATABASE
dc.subjectOUTCOMES
dc.subjectADB
dc.subjectDATA ANALYSIS
dc.subjectGOVERNMENTS
dc.subjectSAFETY
dc.subjectTARGET
dc.subjectFINANCE
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subjectDESIGN
dc.subjectBANKS
dc.titleSurvival of the Fittest?
dc.titleUsing Network Methods to Assess the Diffusion of Project Design Concepts
dc.typeWorking Paper
dc.typeDocument de travail
dc.typeDocumento de trabajo

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