Evaluation of Development Programs : Randomized Controlled Trials or Regressions?

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dc.creatorElbers, Chris
dc.creatorGunning, Jan Willem
dc.date2013-10-02T21:25:40Z
dc.date2013-10-02T21:25:40Z
dc.date2013-09
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:58:23Z
dc.descriptionCan project evaluation methods be used to evaluate programs: complex interventions involving multiple activities? A program evaluation cannot be based simply on separate evaluations of its components if interactions between the activities are important. In this paper a measure is proposed, the total program effect (TPE), which is an extension of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATET). It explicitly takes into account that in the real world (with heterogeneous treatment effects) individual treatment effects and program assignment are often correlated. The TPE can also deal with the common situation in which such a correlation is the result of decisions on (intended) program participation not being taken centrally. In this context RCTs are less suitable even for the simplest interventions. The TPE can be estimated by applying regression techniques to observational data from a representative sample from the targeted population. The approach is illustrated with an evaluation of a health insurance program in Vietnam.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/09/18192682/evaluation-development-programs-randomized-controlled-trials-or-regressions-evaluation-development-programs-randomized-controlled-trials-or-regressions
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/16038
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6587
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/413702
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 6587
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectBENEFICIARIES
dc.subjectCALCULATION
dc.subjectCAPACITY BUILDING
dc.subjectCONTROL GROUPS
dc.subjectCORRELATIONS
dc.subjectCOVARIANCE
dc.subjectESTIMATORS
dc.subjectEVALUATION METHODS
dc.subjectEX POST EVALUATION
dc.subjectEXPERIMENTAL DATA
dc.subjectEXPERIMENTAL METHODS
dc.subjectEXPERIMENTS
dc.subjectHEALTH OUTCOMES
dc.subjectIMPACT EVALUATION
dc.subjectINSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES
dc.subjectINTERVENTION
dc.subjectLEARNING
dc.subjectLIVING STANDARDS
dc.subjectMATRIX
dc.subjectNGO
dc.subjectNUTRITIONAL STATUS
dc.subjectPOLICY CHANGES
dc.subjectPRECISION
dc.subjectPROBABILITY
dc.subjectPROGRAM EFFECTS
dc.subjectPROGRAM EVALUATION
dc.subjectPROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION
dc.subjectPROGRAM INTERVENTIONS
dc.subjectPROGRAMS
dc.subjectPROJECT EVALUATION
dc.subjectRANDOMIZATION
dc.subjectRANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS
dc.subjectREGRESSION ANALYSIS
dc.subjectRESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
dc.subjectSAMPLING ERRORS
dc.subjectSTANDARD ERRORS
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL ANALYSIS
dc.subjectTARGETING
dc.subjectTECHNIQUES
dc.subjectTREATMENT EFFECTS
dc.subjectVALIDITY
dc.subjecttreatment heterogeneity
dc.subjectsector-wide programs
dc.subjectaid effectiveness
dc.subjectprogram evaluation
dc.subjectpolicy evaluation
dc.titleEvaluation of Development Programs : Randomized Controlled Trials or Regressions?

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