Using Remotely Sensed Data to Assess War-Induced Damage to Agricultural Cultivation: Evidence from Ukraine

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dc.creatorDeininger, Klaus
dc.creatorAli, Daniel Ayalew
dc.creatorNataliia, Kussul
dc.creatorLemoine, Guido
dc.creatorShelestov, Andrii
dc.creatorShumilo, Leonid
dc.date2025-09-30T21:40:12Z
dc.date2025-09-30T21:40:12Z
dc.date2025-09-25
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:30:41Z
dc.descriptionThis paper explores whether satellite imagery can be used to derive a measure to estimate conflict-induced damage to agricultural production and compare the results to those obtained using media-based conflict indicators, which are widely used in the literature. The paper combines area for summer and winter crops from annual crop maps for 2019–24 with measures of conflict-related damage to agricultural land based on optical and thermal satellite sensors. These data are used to estimate a difference-in-differences model for close to 10,000 Ukrainian village councils. The results point to large and persistent negative effects that spill over to conflict-unaffected village councils. The predicted impact is three times larger, with a distinctly different distribution across key domains (for example, territory controlled by Ukraine and the Russian Federation) using the preferred image-based indicator as compared to a media-based indicator. Satellite imagery thus allows defining conflict incidence in ways that may be relevant to agricultural production and that may have implications for future research.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/d07228d4-d08d-4ec7-baee-fc117e4d43b8
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/43791
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-11221
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/404915
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper; 11221
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectUKRAINE
dc.subjectCONFLICT/WAR
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL INPUT AND OUTPUT MARKETS
dc.titleUsing Remotely Sensed Data to Assess War-Induced Damage to Agricultural Cultivation: Evidence from Ukraine
dc.typeWorking Paper

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