Climate Change, Soil Salinity, and the Economics of High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh

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dc.creatorDasgupta, Susmita
dc.creatorHossain, Md. Moqbul
dc.creatorHuq, Mainul
dc.creatorWheeler, David
dc.date2015-01-07T21:23:56Z
dc.date2015-01-07T21:23:56Z
dc.date2014-12
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:43:35Z
dc.descriptionIt is a virtual certainty that sea-level rise will continue throughout the century and beyond 2100 even if greenhouse gas emissions are stabilized in the near future. Understanding the economic impacts of salinity intrusion thus is essential for planning adaptation in low-lying coastal areas around the world. This paper presents a case study in Bangladesh on how climate change leads to the spread of soil salinity and the impact on agricultural production in the coastal region. The analysis is conducted in two stages. The first stage predicts future soil salinity for 69 subdistricts, taking into account climate-induced changes in river salinity, temperature, and rainfall by 2050. The second stage uses econometric analysis to predict the impact of climate-induced increases in soil salinity on the output and price of high-yielding-variety rice. The findings indicate output declines of 15.6 percent in nine subdistricts where soil salinity will exceed 4 deciSiemens per meter before 2050. Without newly developed coping strategies, the predicted changes will produce significant income declines from high-yielding-variety rice production in many areas, including a 10.5 percent loss in Barisal region and a 7.5 percent loss in Chittagong region.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/23056341/climate-change-soil-salinity-economics-high-yield-rice-production-coastal-bangladesh
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/21136
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-7140
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/409949
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank Group, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 7140
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectADVERSE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
dc.subjectAQUACULTURE
dc.subjectBASIN
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE RESILIENCE
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGE
dc.subjectCOASTAL AREAS
dc.subjectCOASTAL COMMUNITIES
dc.subjectCOASTAL COMMUNITY
dc.subjectCOASTAL ECOSYSTEMS
dc.subjectCOASTAL REGIONS
dc.subjectCOASTAL ZONES
dc.subjectCOMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
dc.subjectCOMPOST
dc.subjectCONDUCTIVITY
dc.subjectCONSERVATION
dc.subjectCULTIVABLE LAND
dc.subjectDIFFUSION
dc.subjectDRINKING WATER
dc.subjectECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
dc.subjectECONOMETRICS
dc.subjectECONOMIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectECONOMIC EFFECTS
dc.subjectECONOMICS
dc.subjectECONOMICS OF ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectEFFECT OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectELASTICITIES
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectEMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
dc.subjectEMPIRICAL RESEARCH
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
dc.subjectESTUARIES
dc.subjectFARMERS
dc.subjectFISHERIES
dc.subjectFLOODING
dc.subjectFOOD POLICY RESEARCH
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectGLOBAL TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectHYDRAULIC ENGINEERING
dc.subjectICE
dc.subjectICE CAPS
dc.subjectIMPACT OF CLIMATE
dc.subjectIMPACT OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectIMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectINPUT PRICES
dc.subjectINPUT USE
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINUNDATION
dc.subjectIRRIGATION
dc.subjectLAND ECONOMICS
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLONG-TERM RAINFALL
dc.subjectLOWER RAINFALL
dc.subjectMARKET PRICES
dc.subjectMAXIMUM TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectMEAN RAINFALL
dc.subjectMEAN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectMELTING
dc.subjectMONITORING STATIONS
dc.subjectOCEANS
dc.subjectPOLICY INSTRUMENTS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectPRICE ELASTICITIES
dc.subjectPROGRAMS
dc.subjectRAINFALL
dc.subjectRAINFALL DATA
dc.subjectRAINFALL TREND
dc.subjectRAPID CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectRIVER
dc.subjectRIVER BASIN
dc.subjectRIVER ESTUARIES
dc.subjectRIVER FLOWS
dc.subjectRIVERS
dc.subjectSALINITY
dc.subjectSALTWATER INTRUSION
dc.subjectSCIENCES
dc.subjectSEA
dc.subjectSEA LEVEL RISE
dc.subjectSEA-LEVEL
dc.subjectSEA-LEVEL RISE
dc.subjectSEASON
dc.subjectSOILS
dc.subjectSTORM SURGES
dc.subjectSTREAM
dc.subjectSUBSIDENCE
dc.subjectSURFACE WATER
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE DATA
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE EFFECT
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE INCREASE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURES
dc.subjectVULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectWATER TABLE
dc.subjectWETLANDS
dc.titleClimate Change, Soil Salinity, and the Economics of High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh

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