Micro-Level Impacts of the War on Ukraine’s Agriculture Sector

dc.creatorDeininger, ,Klau
dc.creatorAli, Daniel Ayalew
dc.creatorKussul, Nataliia
dc.creatorLemoine, Guido
dc.creatorShelestov, Andrii
dc.date2024-08-21T21:32:48Z
dc.date2024-08-21T21:32:48Z
dc.date2024-08-21
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:30:23Z
dc.descriptionThis paper uses remotely sensed and farm-level data to assess the micro-level impacts of the war in Ukraine. Remotely sensed, high-resolution data on areas of war-induced agricultural field damage in different periods are combined with crop cover data for a 2019–23 panel of about 10,000 village councils. Estimates suggest that there were significant negative effects of field damage on crop area, with persistent, direct impacts, the size of which increased over time. However, the economic losses due to conflict-induced increased transport costs reduced profitability by more than 60 percent, far surpassing the losses from direct crop damage in conflict areas. The lack of diversification into less transport cost sensitive, higher value crops—even in areas far from the conflict zone—points to constraints to adaptation and diversification. By increasing the resilience of farmers in non-conflict areas, removing such constraints could accelerate post-conflict recovery and complement efforts toward reconstruction in directly affected areas.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099509008192436503/IDU139c3d5be190ab144c1191de10e6266afdbf8
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42070
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-10869
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/404783
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper; 10869
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectUKRAINE
dc.subjectCONFLICT/WAR
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL INPUT AND OUTPUT MARKETS
dc.subjectZERO HUNGER
dc.subjectSDG 2
dc.subjectPEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS
dc.subjectSDG 16
dc.titleMicro-Level Impacts of the War on Ukraine’s Agriculture Sector
dc.titleDistinguishing Local and National Effects over Time
dc.typeWorking Paper

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