Adapting to a changing climate: Strategies for productive and resilient agrifood systems
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Inter-American Development Bank
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Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) stand at a pivotal juncture for advancing the sustainability and resilience of the region’s agrifood systems. As both a net agricultural exporter and a global biodiversity hotspot, the region faces the challenge of enhancing productivity while safeguarding long-term environmental and social resilience. This chapter offers a forward-looking assessment of how climate variability may affect agricultural productivity and land use through 2050, drawing on climate-adjusted projections to explore potential shifts in yields and crop distribution under mounting climate pressures. Results indicate that climate change could alter comparative advantages, depress yields in certain areas, and lead to significant reconfigurations of cultivation patterns. Nevertheless, substantial opportunities lie in strategic investments in climate-smart practices, resilient infrastructure, and inclusive policies. Outcomes will vary widely across countries and producer types, underscoring the need for tailored, context-specific strategies. Ultimately, LAC’s capacity to anticipate and adapt—through foresight, robust data, and scenario planning—will determine the productivity, sustainability, and resilience of its agrifood systems, and enable the region to remain a central actor in global food systems despite a changing climate.
Palabras clave
climate change, climate change adaptation, agrifood systems, resilience