LONG-RUN TREND ANALYSIS OF COUNTER-CYCLE PROGRAM COMMODITY PRICES IN THE FARM SECURITY AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT ACT OF 2002

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This study provides empirical evidence on whether corn, sorghum, oat, barley, wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton, and peanuts exhibit cyclical patterns in their historical prices. The results of time-series analysis support a newly added counter-cyclical payment in the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for all crops except corn.

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