Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan

dc.creatorKhakimov, Parviz
dc.creatorAliev, Jovidon
dc.creatorThomas, Timothy S.
dc.creatorIlyasov, Jarilkasin
dc.creatorDunston, Shahnila
dc.date2020-12-01
dc.date2024-05-22T12:11:16Z
dc.date2024-05-22T12:11:16Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:44:33Z
dc.descriptionClimate change is one of the main challenges for Tajikistan’s agricultural development and food security both in the medium and longer term. It is considered one of the key obstacles to achieving the country’s strategic objectives as defined in the National Development Strategy for 2016–2030, which includes ensuring food security and access to quality nutrition by 2030. Using IFPRI’s International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), this article examines the effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. The model simulation results show that yields of some major crops will decline significantly and project an overall negative effect of climate change on the agriculture sector in the country. Climate change will be one of the main challenges for food security, leading to an increased number of people at risk of hunger, malnourishment, especially among children and other vulnerable groups, and insufficient per capita calorie intake. Lower food availability may lead to higher food prices, which would negatively affect the livelihood of the population.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/142901
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/113331
dc.languageen
dc.publisherUniversity of Westminster Press
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceKhakimov, Parviz; Aliev, Jovidon; Thomas, Timothy S.; Ilyasov, Jarilkasin; and Dunston, Shahnila. 2020. Climate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. Silk Road: A Journal of Eurasian Development 2(1): 89–112. https://doi.org/10.16997/srjed.33
dc.subjectmodels
dc.subjectcrops
dc.subjectpopulation
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectnutrition
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectyields
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleClimate change effects on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan
dc.typeJournal Article

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