Forecasting the Path of China's CO2 Emissions: Offsetting Kyoto - and Then Some

dc.creatorAuffhammer, Maximilian
dc.creatorCarson, Richard T.
dc.date2017-04-01T19:56:50Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T02:49:50Z
dc.descriptionOur results suggest that the anticipated path of China's Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions has dramatically increased over the last five years. The magnitude of the projected increase in Chinese emissions out to 2015 is several times larger than reductions embodied in the Kyoto Protocol. Our estimates are based on a unique provincial level panel data set from the Chinese Environmental Protection Agency. This dataset contains considerably more information relevant to the path of likely Chinese greenhouse gas emissions than national level time series models currently in use. Model selection criteria clearly reject the popular static environmental Kuznets curve specification in favor of a class of dynamic models with spatial dependence.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.7197
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/7197/files/wp060971.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/7197
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/520921
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/7197
dc.titleForecasting the Path of China's CO2 Emissions: Offsetting Kyoto - and Then Some
dc.typeText

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