South Asia Economic Focus, Spring 2014 : Time to Refocus
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Washington, DC
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South Asia experienced a strong cyclical
rebound in 2013Q3 growth but has since slowed again. The
strong regional growth performance between July and
September 2013 can be largely attributed to a temporary pick
up in export growth, investment activity, as well as
stronger agricultural output. Since the large impact of
global portfolio rebalancing in May 2103, emerging markets
have separated into a diverse group ranging from
continuously fragile to resilient vis-a-vis external
pressures. India has managed to turn around the wheel and
minimize exposure to further tapering in 2014. Weak growth
and exchange rate depreciation have characterized India for
some time. Capital inflows into South Asia have regained
some momentum and proved more resilient in January 2014 as
opposed to May 2013. This report presents recent economic
developments; outlook and policy; focus: from external to
domestic risk; South Asia country briefs for Afghanistan,
Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and
Sri Lanka; and South Asia at a glance.
Palabras clave
ACCOUNTING, ADVANCED COUNTRIES, ADVANCED ECONOMIES, ARREARS, ASSET QUALITY, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BALANCE SHEET, BALANCE SHEETS, BANK LENDING, BANK LOANS, BANK POLICY, BANKING SECTOR, BANKING SECTORS, BANKING SYSTEM, BASIS POINTS, BENEFICIARY, BOND, BOND ISSUE, BOND ISSUES, BOND SPREADS, BONDS, BORROWER, BROAD MONEY, BUDGET DEFICITS, BUSINESS CYCLE, BUSINESS CYCLES, CAPITAL ACCOUNT, CAPITAL ACCOUNTS, CAPITAL ADEQUACY, CAPITAL FLOWS, CAPITAL FORMATION, CAPITAL INFLOWS, CAPITAL MARKETS, CAPITAL OUTFLOWS, CAPITAL REQUIREMENT, CAPITAL STRUCTURES, CAPITALIZATION, CASH FLOW, CASH FLOWS, CENTRAL BANKS, CENTRAL GOVERNMENT DEBT, COMMERCIAL BANKS, CORPORATE BONDS, CORPORATE DEBT, CORPORATE DEFAULT, CREDIBILITY, CREDIT BUREAU, CREDIT GROWTH, CREDIT QUALITY, CURRENCY DEPRECIATION, CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS, DEBT BURDEN, DEBT COMPOSITION, DEBT LEVEL, DEBT REPAYMENT, DEBT REPAYMENT SCHEDULES, DEBT RESTRUCTURING, DEBT SERVICE, DEFAULT RISK, DEFICIT FINANCING, DEMAND FOR CREDIT, DEPOSIT, DEPOSITS, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRY, DEVELOPING ECONOMIES, DOMESTIC CORPORATE DEBT, DOMESTIC DEBT, DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS, EMERGING ECONOMIES, EMERGING MARKET, EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES, EMERGING MARKETS, EQUITY CAPITAL, EQUITY ISSUE, EQUITY MARKETS, EUROBOND, EXCESS LIQUIDITY, EXCHANGE RATE, EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS, EXCHANGE RATES, EXPENDITURE, EXPENDITURES, EXPORT GROWTH, EXPORT PERFORMANCE, EXPOSURE, EXTERNAL BORROWING, EXTERNAL COMMERCIAL BORROWINGS, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNAL FINANCING, FEDERAL RESERVE, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, FINANCIAL CRISIS, FINANCIAL HEALTH, FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, FINANCIAL MARKET, FINANCIAL STABILITY, FINANCIAL SYSTEM, FINANCIAL SYSTEMS, FISCAL DEFICIT, FISCAL DEFICITS, FIXED CAPITAL, FIXED INVESTMENT, FOREIGN BANKS, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES, FOREIGN INVESTMENT, FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT, GLOBAL PORTFOLIO, GOVERNMENT DEBT, GOVERNMENT FINANCES, GOVERNMENT SECURITIES, INCOME TAXES, INFLATION, INFLATION INDEX, INFLATION RATE, INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS, INFLATIONARY PRESSURES, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS, INSTITUTIONAL INVESTMENT, INSURANCE, INTEREST PAYMENTS, INTEREST RATE, INTEREST RATE CHANGES, INTEREST RATE SPREADS, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS, INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS, INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO, INVENTORIES, INVESTMENT ACTIVITY, INVESTMENT CLIMATE, INVESTMENT DECISIONS, INVESTMENT PROJECTS, ISSUANCE, LABOR MARKET, LIQUIDITY, LOAN, LOCAL CURRENCY, LONG-TERM INTEREST, LONG-TERM INTEREST RATE, MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES, MARKET DEPTH, MARKET EFFICIENCY, MARKET PRICE, MARKET PRICES, MATURITY, MINIMUM CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIO, MINIMUM CAPITAL REQUIREMENT, MINORITY SHAREHOLDERS, MONETARY AUTHORITIES, MONETARY POLICY, NATIONAL SAVINGS, OUTPUT, POLITICAL RISK, POLITICAL UNCERTAINTIES, PORTFOLIO FLOWS, PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT, PORTFOLIO INVESTMENTS, PORTFOLIOS, PRIVATE BANKS, PRIVATE FINANCIAL SECTOR, PRIVATE INVESTMENT, PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS, PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT, PUBLIC BANKS, PUBLIC DEBT, PUBLIC INVESTMENT, PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS, REAL EXCHANGE RATE, RECURRENT EXPENDITURE, REGULATORY FRAMEWORK, REMITTANCE, REMITTANCES, REPAYMENTS, REPO, REPO RATE, RESERVES, RETURN, RETURN ON ASSETS, RISK FACTOR, RISK FACTORS, SAVINGS SCHEMES, SECURITIES MARKETS, SHARE OF ASSETS, SOLVENCY, SOVEREIGN BOND, SOVEREIGN DEBT, STATE BANK, STATE BANKS, STOCK MARKET, STOCK MARKET INDICES, STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS, SWAPS, T-BILL, T-BILLS, TAX, TAX COLLECTION, TOTAL DEBT, TRADE BALANCE, TRADE CREDIT, TRADE DEFICIT, TRADING, TREASURY, TREASURY NOTE, WARRANTS, WITHDRAWAL