Brazil within Brazil : Testing the Poverty Map Methodology in Minas Gerais

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dc.creatorElbers, Chris
dc.creatorLanjouw, Peter
dc.creatorLeite, Phillippe George
dc.date2012-05-29T18:10:40Z
dc.date2012-05-29T18:10:40Z
dc.date2008-02
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T01:24:08Z
dc.descriptionThe small-area estimation technique developed for producing poverty maps has been applied in a large number of developing countries. Opportunities to formally test the validity of this approach remain rare due to lack of appropriately detailed data. This paper compares a set of predicted welfare estimates based on this methodology against their true values, in a setting where these true values are known. A recent study draws on Monte Carlo evidence to warn that the small-area estimation methodology could significantly over-state the precision of local-level estimates of poverty, if underlying assumptions of spatial homogeneity do not hold. Despite these concerns, the findings in this paper for the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil, indicate that the small-area estimation approach is able to produce estimates of welfare that line up quite closely to their true values. Although the setting considered here would seem, a priori, unlikely to meet the homogeneity conditions that have been argued to be essential for the method, confidence intervals for the poverty estimates also appear to be appropriate. However, this latter conclusion holds only after carefully controlling for community-level factors that are correlated with household level welfare.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/02/9035947/brazil-within-brazil-testing-poverty-map-methodology-minas-gerais
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/6575
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-4513
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/417760
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper; No. 4513
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectADULT POPULATION
dc.subjectANALYSIS OF POVERTY
dc.subjectAUTOCORRELATION
dc.subjectBOOTSTRAP
dc.subjectCALCULATION
dc.subjectCAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectCENSUS ENUMERATION AREA
dc.subjectCLUSTER CORRELATION
dc.subjectCLUSTER-LEVEL EFFECTS
dc.subjectCOMMUNITY LEVEL
dc.subjectCONFIDENCE INTERVALS
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
dc.subjectCORRELATIONS
dc.subjectCOVARIANCE
dc.subjectDATA COLLECTION
dc.subjectDELTA METHOD
dc.subjectDESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT RESEARCH GROUP
dc.subjectDISTRICT LEVEL
dc.subjectDISTURBANCE TERM
dc.subjectECONOMIC STATUS
dc.subjectEDUCATIONAL VARIABLES
dc.subjectENUMERATION
dc.subjectESTIMATES OF POVERTY
dc.subjectESTIMATION OF POVERTY
dc.subjectEXPLANATORY VARIABLES
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SUPPORT
dc.subjectFIRST-STAGE PARAMETERS
dc.subjectHETEROSCEDASTICITY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD LEVEL
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SIZE
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD WEIGHTS
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD-LEVEL
dc.subjectHUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subjectHUMAN DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectIDIOSYNCRATIC ERROR
dc.subjectINCIDENCE OF POVERTY
dc.subjectINCOME DATA
dc.subjectINDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectINFANT
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY RATE
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY RATES
dc.subjectLABOUR FORCE
dc.subjectLEVEL ESTIMATION OF WELFARE
dc.subjectLEVEL OF AGGREGATION
dc.subjectLIFE EXPECTANCY
dc.subjectLITERACY RATES
dc.subjectMATRIX
dc.subjectMAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION
dc.subjectMETHODOLOGICAL RESEARCH
dc.subjectMETHODOLOGY
dc.subjectMIGRANTS
dc.subjectMORTALITY
dc.subjectNUMBER OF CHILDREN
dc.subjectNUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectPARAMETER ESTIMATES
dc.subjectPENSIONS
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
dc.subjectPOPULATION CENSUS
dc.subjectPOPULATION SIZE
dc.subjectPOVERTY ALLEVIATION
dc.subjectPOVERTY ESTIMATE
dc.subjectPOVERTY LINE
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAP
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAPPING
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAPS
dc.subjectPOVERTY MEASURES
dc.subjectPRECISION
dc.subjectPREDICTION
dc.subjectPREDICTIONS
dc.subjectPROGRESS
dc.subjectPUBLIC SERVICE
dc.subjectQUESTIONNAIRES
dc.subjectRANDOM SAMPLING
dc.subjectREGRESSORS
dc.subjectRELIABILITY
dc.subjectRESEARCH WORKING PAPERS
dc.subjectRESEARCHERS
dc.subjectRESPECT
dc.subjectSAMPLE DESIGN
dc.subjectSAMPLE SURVEYS
dc.subjectSAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS
dc.subjectSANITATION
dc.subjectSIGNIFICANCE LEVEL
dc.subjectSIMULATION
dc.subjectSIMULATION STAGE
dc.subjectSIMULATIONS
dc.subjectSMALL AREA ESTIMATION
dc.subjectSMALL NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectSPATIAL CORRELATION
dc.subjectSPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectSPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF POVERTY
dc.subjectSTANDARD ERROR
dc.subjectSTANDARD ERRORS
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL PRECISION
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL SENSE
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL TERMS
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL TESTS
dc.subjectSURVEY DATA
dc.subjectTECHNIQUES
dc.subjectTIME SERIES
dc.subjectTIME SERIES ANALYSIS
dc.subjectTV
dc.subjectURBAN AREAS
dc.subjectVALIDITY
dc.subjectVARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX
dc.subjectWEIGHTING
dc.titleBrazil within Brazil : Testing the Poverty Map Methodology in Minas Gerais

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