Issues in estimating economic effects of a disease outbreak in poultry: The case of Newcastle disease
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Three issues in estimating producer losses from an outbreak of
Newcastle disease in the poultry industry are discussed in this
paper. First, annual producer losses from the short to
intermediate run are estimated. Second, producer losses are
estimated taking account of the substitution effects on other meat
markets. Third, an annual aggregate model is used to estimate
producer losses occurring during a part of a year in a part of the
industry. The elasticity version of EMABA was used in estimating
producer losses.