RELATIVE PRICE DYNAMICS AND MONETARY POLICY: EVIDENCE FROM DIRECTED GRAPHS

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This paper examines the dynamic relationship between monetary policy variables and agricultural prices using alternative VAR-type model specifications. Time series techniques as currently specified in most studies raises issues of misspecification and inferential adequacy because observational (non-experimental) data are being analyzed by estimations techniques better suited for experimental data. Directed graph theory is proposed as an alternative modeling approach to supplement current methods of analyzing agricultural time series.

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