Impact Analysis of Decadal Climate Variability on Crop Yields in the Marias River Basin

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In this paper, we use an econometric method to estimate the DCV effects on yields of five crops in the Marias river basin in Montana. We find strong DCV effects on barley, spring/winter wheat. And the DCV phase combination PDO-TAG+WPWP+ has the strongest effect. Adaptive decision making is allowed in terms of acreage changes in crops under different DCV phases.

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