Kyrgyz Republic Agricultural Sector Risk Assessment
No hay miniatura disponible
Fecha
Título de la revista
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editor
World Bank, Washington, DC
Resumen
Descripción
Agriculture is among the most risk-prone
sectors in the economies of Central Asia. Production shocks
from weather, pests and diseases and adverse movements in
agricultural product and input prices not only impact
farmers and agri-business firms, but can also strain
government finances. Some of these risks are small and
localized and can be managed by producers. Others are the
result of more severe, exogenous shocks outside agriculture
or outside the country, which require a broader response.
Failure to respond adequately to these more severe risks
leads to a perpetual cycle of ‘shock-recovery-shock’, which
reinforces poverty traps and compromises long-term growth.
The agriculture sector’s exposure to production and price
risk is increasing. Climate change is increasing production
risks in the short to medium-term by increasing the
frequency and severity of droughts and floods and in the
longer-term by reducing the availability of water for
irrigation due to accelerated glacial melt. The
modernization and commercialization of agricultural
production and processing, which is critical for sector
growth, also raises the sector’s exposure to price risk at a
time of high volatility on international markets for
agricultural commodities. An effective response to these
risks requires a broader, more integrated approach to risk
management than the current system of ex-ante, public sector
activity associated with crop and livestock disease and ad
hoc, ex-post emergency responses to local disasters.
Measures to strengthen risk mitigation need to be
mainstreamed into sector development and investment
programs, additional human and financial resources need to
be allocated to the public institutions responsible for
ex-ante and ex-post risk management, and the potential for
transfer (insurance) mechanisms will need to be clarified
and developed where feasible. Given the limited human and
financial resources available for public sector activity, a
clear sense of the priorities for agriculture risk
management is also required, together with a balanced view
of the respective roles of public and private sector stakeholders.
Palabras clave
TARIFFS, POULTRY, LIVE ANIMALS, EXPORT MARKETS, MARKET STRUCTURE, MILLING, FENCES, ANIMAL PRODUCTS, ANIMAL CONSUMPTION, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, PRICE INCREASES, VITAMINS, MILK, ANIMAL WELFARE, AGRICULTURE SECTOR, ANIMAL PRODUCT, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, FARM PRODUCTIVITY, TRADE BARRIERS, AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES, AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT, AGRICULTURAL SECTORS, DAIRY INDUSTRY, DOMESTIC INDUSTRIES, DOMESTIC MARKET, EXPORTS, FARM MANAGEMENT, TRADE FLOWS, DAIRY EXPORTS, FOOD PURCHASES, DAIRY, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, DIRECT PAYMENTS, PRICE, BUTTER, PAYMENTS, MARKET ACCESS, AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT, AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION, TRADE AGREEMENTS, LIVESTOCK UNITS, AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES, FOREIGN MARKETS, CROP INSURANCE, ANIMAL HEALTH, OILS, CROP PRODUCTION, MILK PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES, AGRICULTURE MARKET, MARKET DEVELOPMENT, FENCING, AGRICULTURAL MARKETS, SILOS, RAW MATERIALS, ARTIFICIAL INSEMINATION, LOCAL FOOD PRODUCTION, CORPORATE FARMS, EXCHANGE RATES, SILAGE, LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS, IMPORT RESTRICTIONS, WORLD PRICES, CROP PROTECTION, AGRICULTURE POLICY, CUTTING, AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY, ANIMAL FATS, IMPORTS, LIVESTOCK, BEETS, FARMERS, SOYBEAN MEAL, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, VOLUME, CROPS, PRICE OF MILK, MARKET INFORMATION SYSTEMS, MARKET PRICE, IMPORT TARIFFS, AGRICULTURAL POLICY, MARKET ECONOMY, AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS, AGRICULTURAL PROCESSING, DAIRY PRODUCTS, CROP YIELDS, TRANSACTION, MARKETING CONTRACTS, LIVESTOCK SECTOR, AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES, FOOD SECURITY, COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE, DOMESTIC MARKETS, AGRIBUSINESS, SANITARY STANDARDS, MARKET PRICES, EXTENSION SERVICES, VEGETABLE PRODUCTS, AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS, FARM PRODUCTION, FATS, WHEAT TRADE, PURCHASING POWER, ANIMAL FEED, DAIRY PROCESSORS, TRADE ORGANIZATION, PRICE RISK, AGRICULTURAL SECTOR, AGRICULTURE, AGRICULTURAL LAND, FOOD SAFETY STANDARDS, TRADE FACILITATION, FRESH FRUIT, AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS, FERTILIZATION, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, MEAT PRODUCTS, COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL MARKET, CROP ROTATIONS, WORLD MARKET PRICES, PRICE MOVEMENTS, COTTON, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS, LAND, BEEF PRODUCTION, FARM STORAGE, INTERNATIONAL MARKET, PRICE RISKS, SUPERMARKETS, FARM, HOUSEHOLDS, BALANCE SHEETS, RURAL AREAS, CONTRACT FARMING, FARMS, FOOD SAFETY, TARIFF, MEAT, FEED, EXPORT, FOOD PRODUCT, TERM FINANCING, PREMIUM, MILK INDUSTRY, COMMODITIES, VEGETABLE OILS, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT, FARMING SYSTEMS, SUGAR BEETS, COWS, MILK PRICES, IMPORT VALUE, INTERNATIONAL MARKETS, GRAIN, AGRICULTURAL TRADE, PRICES, SUGAR