Technological Change: The Re-Discovery of the Engine of Productivity Growth in China's Rural Economy
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The purpose of the paper is to explain the determinants of technological adoption and
demonstrate the importance of technological change in rice yield growth during China's reform period.
Using a unique data set on the nation's rice economy, in the first part of a two stage econometric model,
adoption of new technologies (hybrid rice and single/double cropped rice) is shown to be chosen on the
basis of two basic factors: the availability of a new technologies and the willingness of producers to adopt
them. Treating technology as an endogenous factor, a set of rice supply and derived demand equations is
subsequently estimated, and the parameters are used in a decomposition analysis. While institutional and
environmental factors are found to be significant detenninants of post-reform productivity increases,
technological change has been shown to be the greatest across all periods, and can account for most of the
growth in recent years.
