The Ethnicity Distraction? Political Credibility and Partisan Preferences in Africa

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Much of the research on ethnicity, development and conflict implicitly assumes that ethnic groups act collectively in pursuit of their interests. Collective political action is typically facilitated by political parties able to make credible commitments to pursue group interests. Other work, however, emphasizes the lack of political credibility as a source of adverse development outcomes. Evidence presented here uses partisan preferences across 16 Sub-Saharan African countries to distinguish these positions. The evidence is inconsistent with the credibility of party commitments to pursue collective ethnic interests: ethnic clustering of political support is less widespread than expected; members of clustered ethnic groups exhibit high rates of partisan disinterest and are only slightly more likely to express a partisan preference; and partisan preferences are more affected by factors, such as gift-giving, often associated with low political credibility. These findings emphasize the importance of looking beyond ethnicity in analyses of economic development.

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AGGRESSION, ATTENTION, AUTHORITY, CANDIDATES, CITIZEN, CITIZENS, CIVIL WAR, COERCION, CONFLICT, CONFLICT RESOLUTION, CONSTITUENCIES, CONSTITUENCY, DECISION MAKING, DEMOCRACIES, DEMOCRACY, DEMOCRATIC DEVELOPMENT, DEMOCRATIC PROCESS, DEMOCRATIC REGIMES, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ECONOMIC GROWTH, EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT, ELECTION, ELECTIONS, ELECTORATE, ETHNIC FACTORS, ETHNIC FRAGMENTATION, ETHNIC GROUP, ETHNIC GROUPS, ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY, ETHNIC IDENTITY, ETHNICITY, FAMILIES, GENDER, GROUP LEADERS, GROUP MEMBERS, IDEAS, INDIVIDUAL CHARACTERISTICS, INFANT, INFANT MORTALITY, JOB CREATION, LEADERSHIP, LEVEL OF EDUCATION, LOCAL COMMUNITIES, NEED FOR RESEARCH, PERSONAL COMMUNICATION, POLICY ISSUES, POLICY RESEARCH, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, POLITICAL ACTION, POLITICAL CAMPAIGNS, POLITICAL DECISION, POLITICAL PARTIES, POLITICAL PARTY, POLITICAL SUPPORT, POLITICAL SYSTEMS, PRIMARY SCHOOL, PROGRESS, PUBLIC GOOD, PUBLIC INTEREST, PUBLIC SERVICES, RADIO, RELIGIOUS GROUPS, RESPECT, RURAL AREAS, SELF-RELIANCE, SOCIAL GROUP, TELEVISION, TRIBE, UNIONS, WARS, WORKING CLASS

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