Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle
| dc.creator | Rosenzweig, Mark | |
| dc.creator | Udry, Christopher | |
| dc.date | 2017-04-01T16:54:38Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-07-09T07:40:37Z | |
| dc.description | We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages. Using Indian household panel data describing early-season migration and district-level planting- and harveststage wages over the period 2005-2010, we find results consistent with the model, indicating that rainfall forecasts improve labor allocations on average but exacerbate wage volatility because they are imperfect. | |
| dc.identifier | doi:10.22004/ag.econ.162421 | |
| dc.identifier | https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/162421/files/cdp1036.pdf | |
| dc.identifier | http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/162421 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/590961 | |
| dc.language | eng | |
| dc.publisher | ||
| dc.source | http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/162421 | |
| dc.title | Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle | |
| dc.type | Text |