Environmental Determinants of Child Mortality in Rural China : A Competing Risks Approach

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World Bank, Washington, DC

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We use a competing risk model to analyze environmental determinants of child mortality using the 1992 China National Health Survey, which collects information on cause of death. Our primary question is whether taking into account of cause of death using a competing risk model, compared with a simple model of all-cause mortality, affects conclusions about the effectiveness of policy interventions. There are two potential analytical advantages in using cause of death information: (1) obtaining more accurate estimates and (2) validating causal relationships. Although, we do not find significant differences between estimates obtained from the competing risk model and those from simpler hazard models, we do find evidence supporting the causal interpretations of the effect of access to safe water on child mortality. Our analysis also suggests that a respondent-based health survey can be used to collect relatively reliable information on cause of death. Modifying future demographic and health survey (DHS) instruments to collect cause of death information inexpensively may be worthwhile for enhancing the analytical strength of the DHS.

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ACCESS TO SAFE DRINKING WATER, ACCESS TO SAFE WATER, ACCIDENTS, AIR, AIR POLLUTION, ARI, BASIC SANITATION, BIRTHS, CAUSES OF DEATH, CENSUS, CHILD DEATHS, CHILD HEALTH, CHILD MORBIDITY, CHILD MORTALITY, CHILD MORTALITY RATES, CHILD SURVIVAL, CHILD SURVIVAL PROGRAMS, CLINICS, COMMUNITY HEALTH, DEATH RATE, DIAGNOSTICS, DIARRHEA, DIARRHEAL DISEASE, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC REVIEW, ECONOMICS, ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH, EPIDEMIOLOGY, FAMILY PLANNING, HEALTH CONDITIONS, HEALTH OUTCOMES, HEALTH POLICY, HOUSEHOLDS, HOUSING, HYGIENE, INCOME, INFANT MORTALITY, INFANT MORTALITY RATES, INFANTS, INFECTION, INFECTIOUS DISEASES, INTERVENTION, LIVE BIRTHS, LOW INCOME, LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES, MEDICAL ATTENTION, MIGRATION, MORBIDITY, MORTALITY, MOTHERS, NEONATAL TETANUS, NUTRITION, POLICY RESEARCH, POPULATION LABORATORIES, PREGNANCY, RISK FACTORS, SAFE DRINKING WATER, SANITATION, SANITATION, SANITATION FACILITIES, SELECTION BIAS, SOCIAL SERVICES, TETANUS, URBAN AREAS, WATER, WATER INFRASTRUCTURE, WATER QUALITY, WATER SERVICE, WATER SERVICES, WATER SOURCES

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