Thinking about Aid Predictability

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dc.creatorAndrews, Matthew
dc.creatorWilhelm, Vera
dc.date2012-08-13T14:16:08Z
dc.date2012-08-13T14:16:08Z
dc.date2008-09
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T01:21:54Z
dc.descriptionResearchers are giving more attention to aid predictability. In part, this is because of increases in the number of aid agencies and aid dollars and the growing complexity of the aid community. A growing body of research is examining key questions: Is aid unpredictable? What causes unpredictability? What can be done about it? This note draws from a selection of recent literature to bring some clarity to the basic story emerging. The authors start by presenting evidence from the literature on various problems with aid flows. Then authors discuss how researchers use terms like volatility and unpredictability when discussing aid predictability; the suggest that these concepts can be sharpened by introducing two new concepts: expectations and reliability. These new concepts are particularly useful in conceptualizing the problems of unpredictable flows in government budget processes. This approach allows a basic analysis of how timing and different types of aid affect predictability, and the implications for policy making.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/09/10075143/thinking-aid-predictability
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/11141
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/11141
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/417421
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPREM Notes; No. 124
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectAID
dc.subjectAID AGENCIES
dc.subjectAID FLOWS
dc.subjectBALANCE OF PAYMENTS
dc.subjectBUDGET CONSTRAINTS
dc.subjectBUDGETING
dc.subjectBUSINESS CYCLE
dc.subjectBUSINESS CYCLES
dc.subjectCAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT AID
dc.subjectDISBURSEMENT
dc.subjectDISBURSEMENTS
dc.subjectDOMESTIC DEBT
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectFASHION
dc.subjectFISCAL POLICY
dc.subjectFOOD AID
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT BUDGET
dc.subjectHIV/AIDS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectINTERVENTIONS
dc.subjectINVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
dc.subjectINVESTMENT SPENDING
dc.subjectLENDERS
dc.subjectMONETARY FUND
dc.subjectPOLICY RESPONSE
dc.subjectPOLICY RESPONSES
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO
dc.subjectRESOURCE ALLOCATION
dc.subjectTAX
dc.subjectTRANSPARENCY
dc.titleThinking about Aid Predictability

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