Adaptive Safety Nets for Rural Africa
| dc.creator | Baez, Javier E. | |
| dc.creator | Kshirsagar, Varun | |
| dc.creator | Skoufias, Emmanuel | |
| dc.date | 2019-12-13T20:58:27Z | |
| dc.date | 2019-12-13T20:58:27Z | |
| dc.date | 2019-12 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-07-01T00:41:11Z | |
| dc.description | This paper combines remote-sensed data and individual child-, mother-, and household-level data from the Demographic and Health Surveys for five countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, and Zimbabwe) to design a prototype drought-contingent targeting framework that may be used in scarce-data contexts. To accomplish this, the paper: (i) develops simple and easy-to-communicate measures of drought shocks; (ii) shows that droughts have a large impact on child stunting in these five countries -- comparable, in size, to the effects of mother's illiteracy and a fall to a lower wealth quintile; and (iii) shows that, in this context, decision trees and logistic regressions predict stunting as accurately (out-of-sample) as machine learning methods that are not interpretable. Taken together, the analysis lends support to the idea that a data-driven approach may contribute to the design of policies that mitigate the impact of climate change on the world's most vulnerable populations. | |
| dc.format | application/pdf | |
| dc.identifier | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/104851575303189267/Adaptive-Safety-Nets-for-Rural-Africa-Drought-Sensitive-Targeting-with-Sparse-Data | |
| dc.identifier | https://hdl.handle.net/10986/33014 | |
| dc.identifier | 10.1596/1813-9450-9071 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/409126 | |
| dc.language | English | |
| dc.publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC | |
| dc.relation | Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9071 | |
| dc.rights | CC BY 3.0 IGO | |
| dc.rights | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo | |
| dc.rights | World Bank | |
| dc.subject | SAFETY NETS | |
| dc.subject | POVERTY | |
| dc.subject | CHILD WELFARE | |
| dc.subject | CLIMATE CHANGE | |
| dc.subject | TARGETING | |
| dc.subject | SOCIAL PROTECTION | |
| dc.subject | MALNUTRITION | |
| dc.subject | STUNTING | |
| dc.title | Adaptive Safety Nets for Rural Africa | |
| dc.title | Drought-Sensitive Targeting with Sparse Data | |
| dc.type | Working Paper | |
| dc.type | Document de travail | |
| dc.type | Documento de trabajo |