An Exploration of the Link between Development, Economic Growth, and Natural Risk

dc.creatorHallegatte, Stéphane
dc.date2013-12-06T16:47:08Z
dc.date2013-12-06T16:47:08Z
dc.date2013-05-05
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:58:26Z
dc.descriptionThis paper investigates the link between development, economic growth, and the economic losses from natural disasters in a normative analytical framework with an illustration on hurricane flood risks in New Orleans. It concludes that under broad conditions it is optimal for (1) the probability of disaster occurrence to decrease with income; (2) the capital at risk—and thus the economic losses in case of disaster — to increase faster than economic growth; and (3) the average annual losses to grow faster than income at low levels of development and slower than income at high levels of development. Increasing risk-taking reinforces economic growth; improving protections transfers risks from frequent low-intensity events to rare high-impact events.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/16372
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/16372
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/413713
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectdevelopment
dc.subjecteconomic growth
dc.subjectrisk
dc.subjectnatural disaster
dc.subjecteconomic losses
dc.subjectoptimality
dc.subjectcapital accumulation
dc.subjectproduction function
dc.subjectsuboptimal behaviors
dc.titleAn Exploration of the Link between Development, Economic Growth, and Natural Risk

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