Global strategic trends and agricultural research and development in Latin America and the Caribbean: A framework for analysis
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International Center for Tropical Agriculture
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This document is a partial output of a larger exercise in support of strategic planning and decision making about priorities for agricultural research and development (R&D) in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). A workshop was held at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) in Washington, DC, during March 2012, to analyze global trends and scenarios. Later, in October 2012, the implications for agricultural R&D were explored at an expert consultation (see list of participants in Annex 1) organized at the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) in Colombia. The discussions in those events are a substantial input for this document.
The overall objective is to strengthen food security at the local, national, and global levels and foster sustainable development to generate income and employment in the region, particularly for the poor and vulnerable. The specific aim of this exercise is to present a general framework that could later be used for a more detailed analysis in particular sub-regions, countries, agro-ecological zones, value chains, or products. A policy brief (Díaz-Bonilla et al., 2012) summarizing the first version of this document was presented at the Global Conference on Agricultural Research for Development (GCARD) 2012, and a longer document was finished in January 2013 (DíazBonilla et al., 2013). Here, we concentrate mostly on strategic dimensions and trends, while trying to highlight implications for agricultural R&D in LAC and for the formulation of the CIAT strategy. The discussion on foresight methodologies and a suggested set of scenarios can be found in Díaz-Bonilla et al. (2013).
This document contains an introduction (Section 1) and three other sections. Section 2 briefly characterizes LAC’s agriculture and food developments during the past half century, as background to the identification of drivers and trends for the next decades. Section 3 focuses on different strategic dimensions and potential trends, related to macro-economics, demography, poverty, climate change, technology, and agrarian structure, whose evolution and combinations define future scenarios for the agricultural sector in the region. Section 4 finalizes with some conclusions related to LAC agriculture and strategic issues for R&D.
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productivity, production data, statistical analysis, trade, economic growth, agriculture, climate change, smallholders, productividad, datos de producción, análisis estadístico, comercio, crecimiento económico, agricultura, cambio climático, pequeños agricultores