Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany

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dc.creatorAntzoulatos, Angelos A.
dc.creatorWilfling, Bernd
dc.date2017-04-01T19:11:45Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T03:53:40Z
dc.descriptionRecent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD's forecasts for Germany's consumption and GDP growth.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.26169
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/26169/files/dp030223.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/26169
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/541583
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/26169
dc.titleNon-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany
dc.typeText

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