AN EX ANTE ASSESSMENT OF INVESTMENTS IN TEXAS GRAPEFRUIT UNDER UNCERTAINTY

dc.creatorElmer, Nicole A.
dc.creatorThurow, Amy Purvis
dc.creatorJohnson, Jason L.
dc.creatorRosson, C. Parr, III
dc.date2017-04-01T15:26:57Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T03:14:15Z
dc.descriptionThe Dixit-Pindyck model was applied to examine the hypothesis that uncertainty associated with grapefruit production costs and returns is an important determinant of Texas grapefruit growers' investment behavior. Freezes, price variability, and the effects of expanded trade were analyzed as risk factors. An investment decision rule based on a net-present value calculation would approve a 25-year commitment to a 20-acre grapefruit grove, given a 6-percent discount rate. The modified hurdle rate, calculated using an ex ante version of the Dixit-Pindyck model, is 24 percent. The major source of the risk borne by Texas grapefruit investors is from freezes, rather than from expanded trade.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.15451
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15451/files/33030391.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15451
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/528986
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15451
dc.titleAN EX ANTE ASSESSMENT OF INVESTMENTS IN TEXAS GRAPEFRUIT UNDER UNCERTAINTY
dc.typeText

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