A Poverty Analysis Macroeconomic Simulator (PAMS) Linking Household Surveys with Macro-Models

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dc.creatorPereira da Silva, Luiz A.
dc.creatorEssama-Nssah, B.
dc.creatorSamake, Issouf
dc.date2014-08-08T21:27:29Z
dc.date2014-08-08T21:27:29Z
dc.date2002-09
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T01:27:47Z
dc.descriptionThe Poverty Analysis Macroeconomic Simulator (PAMS) is a model that links standard household surveys with macro frameworks. It allows users to assess the effect of macroeconomic policies-in particular, those associated with Poverty Reduction Strategies papers-on sectoral employment and income, the incidence of poverty, and income distribution. PAMS (in Excel) has three interconnected components: (1) A standard aggregate macro-framework that can be taken from any macro-consistency model (for example, RMSM-X, 123) to project GDP, national accounts, the national budget, the BoP, price levels, and so on, in aggregate consistent accounts. (2) A labor market model breaking down labor categories by skill level and economic sectors whose production total is consistent with that of the macro framework. Individuals from the household surveys are grouped in representative groups of households defined by the labor category of the head of the household. For each labor category, labor demand depends on sectoral output and real wages. Wage income levels by economic sector and labor category can thus be determined. In addition, different income tax rates and different levels of budgetary transfers across labor categories can be added to wage income. (3) A model that uses the labor model results for each labor category to simulate the income growth for each individual inside its own group, assumed to be the average of its group. After projecting individual incomes, PAMS calculates the incidence of poverty and the inter-group inequality. PAMS can produce historical or counterfactual simulations of: + Alternative growth scenarios with different assumptions for inflation, fiscal, and current account balances. These simulations allow test tradeoffs within a macro stabilization program. + Different combinations of sectoral growth (agricultural or industrial, tradable or non-tradable goods sectors), within a given aggregate GDP growth rate. + Tax and budgetary transfer policies. For example, PAMS will simulate a baseline macro-scenario for Burkina Faso corresponding to an existing IMF/World Bank-supported program and introduce changes in tax, fiscal, and sectoral growth policies to reduce poverty and inequality more effectively than the base scenario. So, the authors argue that there are several possible "equilibria" in terms of poverty and inequality within the same macro framework.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2002/09/2018945/poverty-analysis-macroeconomic-simulator-pams-linking-household-surveys-macro-models
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/19273
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-2888
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/418310
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 2888
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectPOVERTY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC MODELS
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC POLICY
dc.subjectPOVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES
dc.subjectEMPLOYMENT ECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subjectINCOME ESTIMATES
dc.subjectPOVERTY INCIDENCE
dc.subjectINCOME DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectAGGREGATE VARIABILITY
dc.subjectNATIONAL ACCOUNTS
dc.subjectNATIONAL BUDGETS
dc.subjectPRICE STRUCTURES
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET ECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subjectLABOR DEMAND
dc.subjectWAGE LEVELS
dc.subjectECONOMIC SECTORS
dc.subjectINCOME TAX LAW & LEGISLATION
dc.subjectFISCAL POLICY
dc.subjectSECTORAL ADJUSTMENT
dc.subjectTAXATION AGGREGATE LEVEL
dc.subjectAGGREGATE OUTPUT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL SECTOR
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectAVERAGE GROWTH
dc.subjectAVERAGE GROWTH RATE
dc.subjectBASE YEAR
dc.subjectBENCHMARKS
dc.subjectBUDGET CONSTRAINTS
dc.subjectBUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
dc.subjectCAPITAL FLOWS
dc.subjectCENTRAL PLANNING
dc.subjectCONCESSIONAL LENDING
dc.subjectCOUNTRY CASE
dc.subjectDEBT
dc.subjectDEBT RELIEF
dc.subjectDECENTRALIZATION
dc.subjectDEVELOPED COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT GOALS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT THEORY
dc.subjectDISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGE
dc.subjectDOMESTIC SAVINGS
dc.subjectECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subjectECONOMIC LITERATURE
dc.subjectECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectECONOMIC POLICIES
dc.subjectECONOMIC SECTORS
dc.subjectECONOMICS
dc.subjectECONOMISTS
dc.subjectELASTICITIES
dc.subjectELASTICITY
dc.subjectEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectEQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectEXCHANGE RATE
dc.subjectEXCHANGE RATES
dc.subjectEXPENDITURES
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectFUNCTIONAL FORM
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGDP PER CAPITA
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.subjectGROWTH POLICIES
dc.subjectGROWTH RATE
dc.subjectGROWTH RATES
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD DATA
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subjectINCOME DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectINCOME GROWTH
dc.subjectINCOME LEVELS
dc.subjectINCOME MODULE
dc.subjectINCOME POVERTY
dc.subjectINFLATION
dc.subjectINFORMAL SECTOR
dc.subjectINFORMAL SECTORS
dc.subjectINSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS
dc.subjectINSTITUTIONAL CHANGES
dc.subjectINVESTMENT CLIMATE
dc.subjectJOB MARKET
dc.subjectLABOR FORCE
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET
dc.subjectLABOR MARKETS
dc.subjectLABOR SUPPLY
dc.subjectLOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC OUTCOMES
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC POLICY
dc.subjectMEAN INCOME
dc.subjectMEAN INCOME GROWTH
dc.subjectNATIONAL ACCOUNTS
dc.subjectOUTPUT GROWTH
dc.subjectPARTICIPATORY POVERTY
dc.subjectPARTICIPATORY POVERTY ASSESSMENTS
dc.subjectPOLICY CHANGE
dc.subjectPOLICY CHOICES
dc.subjectPOLICY ISSUES
dc.subjectPOLICY MEASURES
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectPOOR GROWTH STRATEGIES
dc.subjectPOOR PEOPLE
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectPOVERTY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectPOVERTY ASSESSMENT
dc.subjectPOVERTY ASSESSMENTS
dc.subjectPOVERTY HEADCOUNT
dc.subjectPOVERTY IMPACT
dc.subjectPOVERTY LEVELS
dc.subjectPOVERTY LINE
dc.subjectPOVERTY LINES
dc.subjectPOVERTY MONITORING
dc.subjectPOVERTY REDUCTION
dc.subjectPOVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
dc.subjectPRICE LEVELS
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTOR
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTORS
dc.subjectPRO-POOR
dc.subjectPRO-POOR GROWTH
dc.subjectPRODUCTION FUNCTION
dc.subjectPRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectPUBLIC EXPENDITURE
dc.subjectPUBLIC INVESTMENT
dc.subjectPUBLIC SECTOR
dc.subjectPUBLIC SERVICES
dc.subjectQUANTITATIVE METHODS
dc.subjectRAPID GROWTH
dc.subjectREAL EXCHANGE RATE
dc.subjectREAL EXCHANGE RATES
dc.subjectREAL WAGE RATES
dc.subjectREAL WAGES
dc.subjectREFORM POLICIES
dc.subjectRELATIVE INCOME
dc.subjectRELATIVE INCOMES
dc.subjectRESOURCE ALLOCATION
dc.subjectRURAL AREAS
dc.subjectRURAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectSAVINGS
dc.subjectSECTOR EMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectSKILLED WORKERS
dc.subjectSOCIAL EXPENDITURES
dc.subjectSOCIAL INDICATORS
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMS
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL POLICIES
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL REFORM
dc.subjectSTRUCTURAL REFORMS
dc.subjectSUBSTITUTION EFFECT
dc.subjectTAX RATES
dc.subjectTAXATION
dc.subjectTAXES
dc.subjectTIME SERIES
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY
dc.subjectTRADE SHOCKS
dc.subjectTRADEOFFS
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectUNSKILLED LABOR
dc.subjectURBAN AREAS
dc.subjectVOLUNTARY UNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectWAGE INCOME
dc.subjectWAGE LEVEL
dc.subjectWAGE RATES
dc.titleA Poverty Analysis Macroeconomic Simulator (PAMS) Linking Household Surveys with Macro-Models

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