How Many More Infants Are Likely to Die in Africa as a Result of the Global Financial Crisis?

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dc.creatorSchady, Norbert
dc.creatorFriedman, Jed
dc.date2012-03-19T19:11:59Z
dc.date2012-03-19T19:11:59Z
dc.date2009-08-01
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T01:19:22Z
dc.descriptionThe human consequences of the current global financial crisis for the developing world are presumed to be severe yet few studies have quantified such impact. The authors estimate the additional number of infant deaths in sub-Saharan Africa likely due to the crisis and discuss possible mitigation strategies. They pool birth-level data as reported in female adult retrospective birth histories from all Demographic and Health Surveys collected in sub-Saharan Africa nations. This results in a data set of 639,000 births to 264,000 women in 30 countries. The authors use regression models with flexible controls for temporal trends to assess an infant s likelihood of death as a function of fluctuations in national income. They then apply this estimated likelihood to expected growth shortfalls as a result of the crisis. At current growth projections, their estimates suggest there will be 30,000 - 50,000 excess infant deaths in sub-Saharan Africa. Most of these additional deaths are likely to be poorer children (born to women in rural areas and lower education levels) and are overwhelmingly female. If the crisis continues to worsen the number of deaths may grow much larger, especially those to girls. Policies that protect the income of poor households and that maintain critical health services during times of economic contraction should be considered. Interventions targeted at female infants and young girls may be particularly beneficial.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090820140450
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/4215
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5023
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/417041
dc.languageEnglish
dc.relationPolicy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5023
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectAID
dc.subjectBABIES
dc.subjectBIRTH RATE
dc.subjectBIRTH RATES
dc.subjectCHILD BIRTH
dc.subjectCHILD DEATHS
dc.subjectCHILD DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectCHILD HEALTH
dc.subjectCOMPLICATIONS
dc.subjectCONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFERS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDROPOUT
dc.subjectEFFECTIVE POLICIES
dc.subjectFAMILIES
dc.subjectFEMALE
dc.subjectFEMALES
dc.subjectFERTILITY
dc.subjectFERTILITY RATES
dc.subjectFORECASTS
dc.subjectFUTURE GROWTH
dc.subjectGENDER
dc.subjectHEALTH PROVIDERS
dc.subjectHEALTH SERVICES
dc.subjectHIGH-RISK
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD LEVEL
dc.subjectHUMAN DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectIMPORTANT POLICY
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCREASE IN MORTALITY
dc.subjectINFANT
dc.subjectINFANT DEATH
dc.subjectINFANT DEATHS
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY RATE
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY RATES
dc.subjectINFANTS
dc.subjectINVESTMENTS IN EDUCATION
dc.subjectLEVELS OF EDUCATION
dc.subjectLIVE BIRTHS
dc.subjectMORTALITY RATE
dc.subjectMOTHER
dc.subjectMOTHERS
dc.subjectNEONATAL MORTALITY
dc.subjectNUMBER OF BIRTHS
dc.subjectNUMBER OF CHILDREN
dc.subjectNUMBER OF DEATHS
dc.subjectNUTRITION
dc.subjectNUTRITION OUTCOMES
dc.subjectOLDER WOMEN
dc.subjectPLACE OF RESIDENCE
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
dc.subjectPOOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectPREGNANCY
dc.subjectPROBABILITY
dc.subjectPROGRESS
dc.subjectPUBLIC HEALTH
dc.subjectPUBLIC HEALTH EXPENDITURES
dc.subjectPUBLIC SERVICES
dc.subjectRESPECT
dc.subjectRURAL AREAS
dc.subjectSOCIOECONOMIC STATUS
dc.subjectSON PREFERENCE
dc.subjectSPONTANEOUS ABORTIONS
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectVICTIMS
dc.subjectVITAL STATISTICS
dc.subjectWOMAN
dc.subjectWOMEN'S HEALTH
dc.subjectWORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectYOUNG GIRLS
dc.subjectYOUNGER WOMEN
dc.titleHow Many More Infants Are Likely to Die in Africa as a Result of the Global Financial Crisis?

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