Oil, Growth and Political Development in Angola

dc.creatorKyle, Steven C.
dc.date2017-04-01T18:51:10Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T06:14:20Z
dc.descriptionAngola is more dependent on oil than any other country in Sub Saharan Africa and most other countries as well, apart from a handful of OPEC members. Contributing half or more of GDP, oil revenues condition and distort every other macroeconomic variable in the country, a situation that has existed for decades. Appreciation of the real exchange rate is the main macroeconomic distortion resulting from these inflows of mineral income. The paper demonstrates a marked tendency for the Angolan Kwanza to appreciate in recent years, and continuation of this trend is one of the biggest threats to economic rehabilitation of Angola’s war-torn non-oil economy. Resulting economic distortions are quantified using an index of distortion based on Chenery-Syrquin “standard” growth paths of economic structure. Optimal savings and expenditure rates out of mineral income are calculated based on a permanent income approach to optimal expenditure over time. Finally, implications of oil revenue for the future political development of Angola’s main parties are discussed.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.127007
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/127007/files/Cornell_Dyson_wp0705.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/127007
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/574086
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/127007
dc.titleOil, Growth and Political Development in Angola
dc.typeText

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