Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Methods: An Application to Non-Normally Behaving Data on Selected U.S. Sugar-Related Markets

dc.creatorBabula, Ronald A.
dc.creatorNewman, Douglas
dc.date2017-04-01T19:44:25Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T03:15:44Z
dc.descriptionThe methods of the cointegrated vector autoregression/error correction (VAR/VEC) model are applied to monthly U.S. markets for sugar and for sugar-using markets for confectionary, soft drink, and bakery products. Primarily a methods paper, Johansen and Juselius' methods are applied, with a special focus on addressing well-known issues that preclude statistically normal behavior, and that confront the modelled sugar-based data. In so doing, we illustrate the effectiveness and the benefits of modelling this sugar-related set of markets as a cointegrated system. Perhaps for the first time, cointegrated VEC model results are used to estimate crucial policy-relevant market parameters that drive the markets, as well as to illuminate the dynamic nature of the relationships linking these sugar-based markets.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.15878
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15878/files/id050012.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15878
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/529413
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/15878
dc.titleCointegrated Vector Autoregression Methods: An Application to Non-Normally Behaving Data on Selected U.S. Sugar-Related Markets
dc.typeText

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