Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados

dc.creatorPeterson, Everett B.
dc.creatorOrden, David
dc.date2006-10
dc.date2025-01-29T12:59:31Z
dc.date2025-01-29T12:59:31Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:34:48Z
dc.descriptionThis study compares the effects of importing fresh Mexican Hass avocados into the United States under three scenarios for mitigating pest risks. The analysis finds that Scenario 1, adherence to the U.S. phytosanitary rule of November 2004—which removed all seasonal and geographic restrictions on Mexican avocados, while maintaining existing compliance procedures in Mexico—leads to low pest risks for U.S. producers and an estimated annual U.S. welfare gain of $72 million. In Scenario 2, if compliance measures specific to fruit fly control are eliminated along with seasonal and geographic restrictions, pest risks for U.S. producers remain low and there is an additional gain in net U.S. welfare of $1.7 million. Results for Scenario 3, which eliminates all control measures in Mexico, depends on the level of pest-risk estimated. With average risk, there is a gain in net U.S. welfare of about $8.5 million compared with eliminating only seasonal and geographic restrictions, but U.S. producers incur significant pest control costs. With maximum pest-risk estimates, the net gain in U.S. welfare is $16.2 million less than if only geographic and seasonal restrictions are eliminated, with larger pest control costs for U.S. producers and lower consumer welfare gains due to pest-related losses of U.S. avocados.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/172190
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/108430
dc.languageen
dc.publisherUnited States Department of Agriculture
dc.rightsLimited Access
dc.sourcePeterson, Everett B.; Orden, David. 2006. Linking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados. ERS/USDA Contractor and Cooperator Report 25.
dc.subjectassessment
dc.subjectrisk
dc.subjectimports
dc.subjectrisk assessment
dc.subjecttrade
dc.subjectphytosanitary measures
dc.subjectavocados
dc.subjectpest control
dc.subjectplant protection
dc.titleLinking risk and economic assessments in the analysis of plant pest regulations: the case of U.S. imports of Mexican avocados
dc.typeReport

Archivos