Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecommunications Sectors
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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The authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.
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ABSOLUTE TERMS, ACCOUNTING, AGRICULTURE, AIC, ANNUAL GROWTH, ANNUAL GROWTH RATE, BENCHMARK, BENCHMARKING, BENCHMARKS, COLLABORATION, COMPARATOR GROUP, COMPETITIVENESS, CONSUMERS, DEBT, DEFICITS, DEPENDENT VARIABLE, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DEVELOPMENT GOALS, DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS, DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES, DEVELOPMENT REPORT, ECONOMETRICS, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ELASTICITY, ELECTRIFICATION, EMPLOYMENT, ESTIMATION RESULTS, ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES, EXCHANGE RATE, EXPENDITURES, EXPLANATORY VARIABLES, FIXED EFFECTS, FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION, FORECASTS, GDP, GDP GROWTH RATE, GDP PER CAPITA, GROWTH PERFORMANCE, GROWTH POLICY, GROWTH RATE, GROWTH RATES, INCOME, INCOME ELASTICITY, INCOME GROUPS, INCOME MEASURES, INDEPENDENT VARIABLES, INDUSTRIALIZATION, INFLATION, INFLATION RATE, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT, INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION, INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT, INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, INVESTMENT CLIMATE, INVESTMENT FLOWS, INVESTMENT NEEDS, INVESTMENT PLANS, INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS, LABOR FORCE, LAGGED DEPENDENT, LAGGED VALUES, LATIN AMERICAN, LOCAL GOVERNMENT, LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, LONG RUN, LRMC, MARGINAL COST, MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY, MEDIA, MEDIUM TERM, MONETARY ECONOMICS, OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE, PER CAPITA GROWTH, POLICY DEBATE, POLICY DISCUSSION, POLICY RESEARCH, POOR GROWTH, POOR PEOPLE, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRIVATE INVESTMENT, PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, PROFIT MAXIMIZATION, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE, PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE, PUBLIC POLICY, REAL GDP, REGULATORY REFORM, RURAL AREAS, STATEMENT, STRUCTURAL BREAK, STRUCTURAL CHANGE, SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE, TELECOM SECTOR, TELECOMMUNICATIONS, TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, TELEPHONE LINES, TELEPHONE SERVICES, TELEPHONE USE, TELEPHONES, TRANSPORT, TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO, URBAN AREAS, URBANIZATION, VALUE ADDED