Revisiting Poverty Trends and the Role of Social Protection Systems in Africa during the COVID-19 Pandemic

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dc.creatorAbay, Kibrom A.
dc.creatorYonzan, Nishant
dc.creatorKurdi, Sikandra
dc.creatorTafere, Kibrom
dc.date2022-09-14T19:43:16Z
dc.date2022-09-14T19:43:16Z
dc.date2022-09
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T00:36:54Z
dc.descriptionQuantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on poverty in Africa has been as difficult as predicting the path of the pandemic, mainly due to data limitations. The advent of new data sources, including national accounts and phone survey data, provides an opportunity for a thorough reassessment of the impact of the pandemic and the subsequent expansion of social protection systems on the evolution of poverty in Africa. This paper combines per capita gross domestic product growth from national accounts with data from High-Frequency Phone Surveys for several countries to estimate the net impact of the pandemic on poverty. It finds that the pandemic increased poverty in Africa by 1.5–1.7 percentage points in 2020, relatively smaller than early estimates and projections. The paper also finds that countries affected by fragility, conflict, and violence experienced the greatest increases in poverty, about 2.1 percentage points in 2020. Furthermore, the paper assesses and synthesizes empirical evidence on the role that social protection systems played in mitigating the adverse impact of the COVID-19 crisis in Africa. It reviews social protection responses in various African countries, mainly focusing on the impact of these programs and effectiveness of targeting systems. Although the evidence base on the protective role of social protection programs during the pandemic remains scarce, the paper highlights important findings on the impacts of these programs while also uncovering some vulnerabilities in social protection programming in Africa. Finally, the paper draws important lessons related to the delivery, targeting, and impact of various social protection programs launched in Africa in response to the pandemic.
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dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099439009132230066/IDU0a252038a0259c04a26099f00ae922b7f52b3
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/38014
dc.identifier10.1596/1813-9450-10172
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/407389
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Papers;10172
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.rightsWorld Bank
dc.subjectPANDEMIC IMPACT REASSESSMENT
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectSOCIAL PROTECTION
dc.subjectPHONE SURVEY DATA
dc.subjectCOVID-RELATED POVERTY
dc.subjectCOVID IMPACT ON FRAGILE POPULATIONS
dc.subjectSOCIAL PROTECTION EFFECTIVENESS
dc.subjectVULNERABILITIES IN SOCIAL PROTECTION PROGRAMMING
dc.titleRevisiting Poverty Trends and the Role of Social Protection Systems in Africa during the COVID-19 Pandemic
dc.typeWorking Paper
dc.typeDocument de travail
dc.typeDocumento de trabajo

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