Changing Farm Types and Irrigation as an Adaptation to Climate Change in Latin American Agriculture
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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This paper estimates a model of a farm
that treats the choice of crops, livestock, and irrigation
as endogenous. The model is composed of a multinomial
choice of farm type, a binomial choice of irrigation, and a
set of conditional land value functions. The model is
estimated across over 2,000 farmers in seven Latin America
countries. The results quantify how farmers adapt their
choice of farm type and irrigation to their local climate.
The results should help governments develop effective
adaptation policies in response to climate change and
improve the forecasting of climate effects. The paper
compares the predicted effects of climate change using both
endogenous and exogenous models of farm choice.
Palabras clave
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM, AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS, AGRICULTURE, ANIMALS, BEEF, BEEF CATTLE, BREEDING, CARBON DIOXIDE, CHOICE OF CROPS, CLAY SOILS, CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGES, CLIMATE IMPACTS, CLIMATE RESEARCH, CLIMATE SENSITIVITY, CLIMATE SYSTEM, CLIMATIC CHANGE, COMMERCIAL FARMERS, COMMODITY, CROP, CROP PRICES, CROPLAND, DHAL, DRAINAGE, ELASTICITY, FAO, FARM, FARM MODEL, FARMER, FARMERS, FARMING, FARMS, FERTILIZATION, FOOD SECURITY, FORESTRY, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, GLOBAL WARMING, GREENHOUSE EFFECT, GREENHOUSE GAS, INCOMES, INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURE, IPCC, IRRIGATION, LAND USE, LAND VALUE, LATIN AMERICAN, LIVESTOCK, LIVESTOCK FARMS, LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT, LIVESTOCK OPERATIONS, LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION, MAIZE, MEAT, PLANTING, POTATOES, POTENTIAL IMPACTS, PRECIPITATION, RAINFALL, RURAL DEVELOPMENT, SOIL, SOIL TYPE, SOIL TYPES, SOILS, SOYBEANS, TEMPERATURE, VALUE FUNCTIONS, VEGETABLES, WATER RESOURCES, WHEAT, WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION, YIELDS
