Food Security and Storage in the
            Middle East and North Africa

Lampietti, Julian; Larson, Donald F.; Gouel, Christophe; Cafiero, Carlo; Roberts, John

Food Security and Storage in the Middle East and North Africa

Autores

Editor

World Bank, Washington, DC

Descripción

In times of highly volatile commodity markets, governments often try to protect their populations from rapidly-rising food prices, which can be particularly harsh for the poor. A potential solution for food-deficit countries is to hold strategic reserves, which can be called on when international prices spike. But how large should strategic stockpiles be? This paper develops a dynamic storage model for wheat in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, where imported wheat dominates the average diet. The paper uses the model to analyze a strategy that sets aside wheat stockpiles, which can be used when needed to keep domestic prices below a targeted price. This paper shows that if the target is set high and reserves are adequate, the strategy can be effective and robust. Contrary to most interventions, strategic storage policies are counter-cyclical and, when the importing region is sufficiently large, a regional policy can smooth global prices. This paper shows that this is the case for the MENA region. Nevertheless, the policy is more costly than the pro-cyclical policy of a targeted intervention that directly offsets high prices with a subsidy similar to food stamps.

Palabras clave

AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, AGRICULTURE, ARBITRAGE, AVERAGE COSTS, AVERAGE PRICE, BANKRUPTCY, BENCHMARK, BONDS, COCOA, COMMODITIES, COMMODITY, COMMODITY PRICE, COMMODITY PRICES, CONSUMERS, CONSUMPTION LEVELS, CONSUMPTION RATES, CORN, COST OF CAPITAL, COST OF LIVING, COUPONS, CURRENCY, DELIVERY MECHANISMS, DEMAND CURVE, DEMAND ELASTICITY, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRY, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DISCOUNT RATE, DOMESTIC MARKETS, DOMESTIC PRICE, DOMESTIC PRICES, DUMPING, ECONOMETRICS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC RESEARCH, EDIBLE OILS, EQUILIBRIUM PRICE, EXCHANGE RATE, EXPENDITURES, EXPORTS, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS, FINANCIAL MARKETS, FINANCIAL RISK, FINANCING FACILITY, FISCAL DEFICITS, FOOD AID, FOOD COUPONS, FOOD DELIVERY, FOOD DELIVERY SYSTEMS, FOOD FOR WORK, FOOD INSECURITY, FOOD MARKETS, FOOD POLICY, FOOD POLICY RESEARCH, FOOD PRICE, FOOD PRICES, FOOD PRODUCT, FOOD RELIEF, FOOD RESERVES, FOOD SAFETY, FOOD SECURITY, FOOD STAMPS, FOOD STOCKS, FOOD SUBSIDIES, FOOD TRANSFERS, FREE MARKETS, FUTURE PRICES, FUTURES, GAME THEORY, GDP, GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS, GLOBAL MARKET, GLOBAL MARKETS, GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS, GRAIN RESERVES, GRAINS, HOUSEHOLD FOOD INSECURITY, IFPRI, INCOME, INCOMES, INFLATION, INPUT PRICES, INSURANCE, INTEREST RATE, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE, INTERNATIONAL MARKETS, INVENTORIES, INVENTORY, LIQUIDITY, MARGINAL COST, MARGINAL COSTS, MARKET EQUILIBRIUM, MARKET FAILURE, MARKET PRICE, MARKET REFORMS, MARKET VOLATILITY, MARKETING, MEAT, MILLS, NATURAL DISASTER, OUTPUT, POLITICAL ECONOMY, PRICE CEILING, PRICE CHANGES, PRICE INCREASES, PRICE LEVELS, PRICE RISK, PRICE RISKS, PRICE STABILITY, PRICE STABILIZATION, PRICE SUPPORT, PRICE VOLATILITY, PRIVATE MARKETS, PROTEIN, PURCHASE PRICE, REMOTE AREAS, RESERVE, RISK AVERSION, RISK MANAGEMENT, RISK PREMIUMS, RUBBER, SAFETY NETS, SINGLE MARKET, SOCIAL PROTECTION, SOCIAL SAFETY NET, SPREAD, STABILIZATION POLICY, STOCKS, STORAGE CAPACITY, SUBSTITUTES, SUGAR, SUPPLY CHAIN, SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT, SUPPLY CHAINS, SUPPLY ELASTICITY, SUPPLY SHOCKS, SURPLUSES, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES, TIME VALUE OF MONEY, TRADE POLICIES, TRANSACTION COST, TRANSACTION COSTS, WHEAT, WORLD MARKET, WORLD MARKETS