Timor-Leste - Rising Risks, Resilient Futures: Climate and Health Vulnerability Assessment

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Washington, DC: World Bank

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The Climate and Health Vulnerability Assessment (CHVA) provides an evidence base to guide climate-resilient health investments. It integrates climate modeling, geospatial exposure mapping, and disease burden analysis, economic projections from the World Bank’s Climate and Health Economic Valuation (CHEV) tool, and extensive stakeholder conventions and a validation workshop convened through Timor-Leste’s Climate and Health Technical Working Group (TWG). The CHVA places a strong focus on subnational variation, assessing climate and health risks and vulnerabilities across all 14 municipalities. It also builds on and complements ongoing adaptation efforts, including the country’s Health National Adaptation Plan (HNAP) and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), in identifying strategic entry points for adaptation action. By linking climate risks, health system constraints, and development priorities, the CHVA supports informed decision-making. By highlighting the intersecting pressures of a changing climate, shifting demography, an uncertain economy, and evolving health needs, this assessment aims to support national and municipal decision-makers in understanding where climate-health risks are greatest, how they are progressing, and what opportunities exist to reduce vulnerability and strengthen resilience.

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CLIMATE RISKS, HEALTH SERVICES DELIVERY, HEALTH SYSTEMS, CLIMATE RESILIENCE, CLIMATE VULNERABILITY, CLIMATE-RESILIENT HEALTH

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