The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies

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dc.creatorMondal, Md. Hossain Alam
dc.creatorRosegrant, Mark W.
dc.creatorRingler, Claudia
dc.creatorPradesha, Angga
dc.creatorValmonte-Santos, Rowena
dc.date2018-03
dc.date2019-02-08T04:13:36Z
dc.date2019-02-08T04:13:36Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:28:00Z
dc.descriptionThis paper presents an assessment of alternative, long-term energy supply and low-carbon strategies for the Philippine power sector from 2014 to 2040 using TIMES model. It examines the potential contribution of renewable energy to diversify the Philippine energy supply-mix to meet future electricity demands. The reference scenario compares the impact of four alternative policy goals: (1) carbon tax, (2) targeted renewable-based power generation, (3) limited coal share in supply-mix, and (4) renewables subsidy. The reference scenario shows a significant increase of the share of coal-based power generation and import dependency of fossil-fuel increases from 227 PJ in 2016 to 1073 PJ in 2040. The model results for the alternative policy scenarios show a large potential for renewable energy-based power generation. The alternative policy options show a significant decrease of import dependency in the energy supply-mix for power generation. Most alternative policy scenarios project a higher total system cost, with the exception of the subsidy scenario. System cost increases only 2.6% in the renewables target scenario relative to the reference scenario. However, long-term benefits from investing in the alternative policy options would need to be considered, including diversification of energy supply-mix, improved energy security, and progress toward a low-carbon society.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/99335
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/105237
dc.languageen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceMondal, Md. Hossain Alam; Rosegrant, Mark W.; Ringler, Claudia; Pradesha, Angga; Valmonte-Santos, Rowena. 2018. The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies. Energy 147(15): 142-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.039
dc.subjectenergy policies
dc.subjectlinear programming
dc.subjectoptimization methods
dc.subjectrenewable energy
dc.subjectfossil fuels
dc.subjectenergy resources
dc.subjectenergy demand
dc.subjectenergy security
dc.subjectenergy
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleThe Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
dc.typeJournal Article

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)