Intersectoral Migration in Southeast Asia : Evidence from Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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Using time series data spanning three
decades, the authors examine the determinants of sectoral
migration in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines. They
employ a principal components algorithm to address problems
associated with trended and inter-correlated explanatory
variables. Migration rates in the three countries are low
relative to other developing countries with the consequence
of persistent inter-sectoral income differentials. Even so,
the rate of migration has been responsive to income ratios
in each country. The migration rates were also affected by
the absorbing capacity of non-agriculture, as indicated by
several measures. In contrast to other studies, policy
variables consisting of indicators of physical and human
capital had little impact on the migration rate separate
from that captured by relative incomes.
Palabras clave
AGRICULTURE, BASE YEAR, CAPITAL FLOWS, CAPITAL PROJECTS, CLIMATE, CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, CRIME, DEFLATORS, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DUAL ECONOMY, ECONOMETRICS, ECONOMIC BOOM, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC RELATIONS, ELASTICITIES, ELASTICITY, EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS, EMPLOYMENT, ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE, FOOD POLICY RESEARCH, FORESTRY, GDP, GDP DEFLATOR, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, GROWTH RATE, HUMAN CAPITAL, INCOME, INFECTIOUS DISEASES, INFLATION, INFLATION RATE, INNOVATION, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, INVENTORY, LABOR FORCE, LABOR MARKETS, LABOR PRODUCTIVITY, LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, MARKET PRICES, MIGRANTS, MIGRATION, MORTALITY, NATIONAL INCOME, NOMINAL PRICES, NUMERICAL VALUE, POLITICAL ECONOMY, POPULATION GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY, PROFITABILITY, PROPERTY RIGHTS, PUBLIC GOOD, PUBLIC GOODS, PUBLIC HEALTH, PUBLIC SECTOR, RATE OF MIGRATION, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, RESOURCE ALLOCATION, SOCIAL STUDIES, TAX SYSTEMS, TELECOMMUNICATIONS, TERMS OF TRADE, TIME SERIES, UNEMPLOYMENT, WAGES