Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa

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dc.creatorVincent, Katharine
dc.creatorCull, Tracy
dc.creatorvan Garderen, Emma Archer
dc.creatorConway, Declan
dc.creatorDalin, Carole
dc.creatorDeryng, Delphine
dc.creatorDorling, Steve
dc.creatorFallon, Amy
dc.creatorLandman, Willem
dc.date2016-05-12
dc.date2024-06-21T09:23:22Z
dc.date2024-06-21T09:23:22Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:25:35Z
dc.descriptionThe study showed that El Niño no longer strikes the same fear as it used to, even in the agricultural sector where the negative impacts of the 1997-98 and 1982-83 events are within living memory. The widespread drought associated with the El Niño event of 2015/16 (subsequent to this study) may, however, reverse this trend and promote greater interest in the role of ENSOs in seasonal forecasts. There is little demand for El Niño-specific forecasts outside of agricultural research. However there is evidence for the use of seasonal forecasts in the agriculture, water and disaster preparedness and response sectors in South Africa.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/104019
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceVincent, Katharine; Cull, Tracy; van Garderen, Emma Archer; Conway, Declan; Dalin, Carole; Deryng, Delphine; Dorling, Steve; Fallon, Amy; and Landman, Willem. 2016. Improving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa. SAWHEWS Project Note 1. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/147821
dc.subjectforecasting
dc.subjectperiodicity
dc.subjectseasonality
dc.subjectrainfall patterns
dc.subjectweather
dc.subjectdrought
dc.subjectshock
dc.subjectresilience
dc.subjectel niño
dc.titleImproving effective use of seasonal forecasts in South Africa
dc.typeBrief

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)