Revisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper

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dc.creatorAbay, Kibrom A.
dc.creatorYonzan, Nishant
dc.creatorKurdi, Sikandra
dc.creatorTafere, Kibrom
dc.date2022-09-01
dc.date2023-01-16T15:21:17Z
dc.date2023-01-16T15:21:17Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T14:55:34Z
dc.descriptionQuantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on poverty in Africa has been as difficult as predicting the path of the pandemic, mainly due to data limitations. The advent of new data sources, including national accounts and phone survey data, provides an opportunity for a thorough reassessment of the impact of the pandemic and the subsequent expansion of social protection systems on the evolution of poverty in Africa. This paper combines per capita gross domestic product growth from national accounts with data from High-Frequency Phone Surveys for several countries to estimate the net impact of the pandemic on poverty. It finds that the pandemic increased poverty in Africa by 1.5–1.7 percentage points in 2020, relatively smaller than early estimates and projections. The paper also finds that countries affected by fragility, conflict, and violence experienced the greatest increases in poverty, about 2.1 percentage points in 2020. Furthermore, the paper assesses and synthesizes empirical evidence on the role that social protection systems played in mitigating the adverse impact of the COVID-19 crisis in Africa. It reviews social protection responses in various African countries, mainly focusing on the impact of these programs and effectiveness of targeting systems. Although the evidence base on the protective role of social protection programs during the pandemic remains scarce, the paper highlights important findings on the impacts of these programs while also uncovering some vulnerabilities in social protection programming in Africa. Finally, the paper draws important lessons related to the delivery, targeting, and impact of various social protection programs launched in Africa in response to the pandemic.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/127214
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/89592
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWorld Bank
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceAbay, Kibrom A.; Yonzan, Nishant; Kurdi, Sikandra; and Tafere, Kibrom. 2022. Revisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper. Policy Research Working Papers 10172. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/38014
dc.subjectcoronavirus
dc.subjectcoronavirus disease
dc.subjectcoronavirinae
dc.subjectcovid-19
dc.subjectpoverty
dc.subjectdata
dc.subjectsurveys
dc.subjectsocial welfare
dc.subjectincome
dc.subjectfragility
dc.subjectconflict
dc.subjectviolence
dc.subjectevidence
dc.subjectprogrammes
dc.subjectsocial protection
dc.subjectconflicts
dc.subjectgross national product
dc.titleRevisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper
dc.typeWorking Paper

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