Causes and Consequences of Civil Strife : Micro-Level Evidence from Uganda
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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To bridge the gap between case studies
and highly aggregate cross-country analyses of civil unrest,
the author uses data from Uganda to explore determinants of
civil strife (as contrasted to theft and physical violence)
at the community level, as well as the potentially
differential impact of these variables on investment and
nonagricultural enterprise formation at the household level.
He finds that distance from infrastructure (a proxy for
scarcity of economic opportunities and government
investment), asset inequality (social tension), the presence
of cash crops (expropriable wealth), and lower levels of
human capital (ability to take advantage of opportunities in
the "regular" economy) all increase the propensity
for civil strife. Furthermore, civil strife, in marked
contrast to violence and theft, reduces investment and
nonagricultural enterprise start-ups.
Palabras clave
AGGREGATE LEVEL, ASSETS, AVAILABLE DATA, BASIC, CAPITAL FORMATION, CASE STUDIES, CIVIL CONFLICT, COMMUNITIES, COMMUNITY CHARACTERISTICS, COMMUNITY LEVEL, COMMUNITY MEMBERS, COMMUNITY SURVEY, CONCEPTUAL BASIS, CONFLICT, COUNTRY LEVEL, CRIME, DATA SETS, DECENTRALIZATION, DECISION- MAKING PROCESS, DEPENDENT VARIABLE, ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR, ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC EXCHANGE, ECONOMIC FACTORS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC IMPACT, ECONOMIC OUTCOMES, ECONOMIC RESOURCES, ECONOMISTS, EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS, EQUALITY, EQUILIBRIUM, ETHNIC DIVERSITY, ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION, ETHNIC GROUPS, EXOGENOUS VARIABLES, EXPECTED RETURNS, EXPORTS, GDP, GROUP LEVEL, GROWTH POTENTIAL, HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS, HOUSEHOLD DATA, HOUSEHOLD DURABLES, HOUSEHOLD LEVEL, HOUSEHOLD SURVEY, HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS, HUMAN CAPITAL, IDEAS, INCOME, INCOME GROUPS, INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES, INTERVIEWER, LABOR FORCE, LANDLOCKED COUNTRY, NATIONAL AVERAGE, NATIONAL LEVEL, NETWORKS, OPPORTUNITY COST, POLICY RELEVANCE, POLICY RESEARCH, PRODUCERS, PUBLIC GOOD, PUBLIC GOODS, RURAL AREAS, RURAL DEVELOPMENT, SOCIAL CAPITAL, TAX REVENUE, TAXATION, TIME SERIES, TRANSACTION COSTS, WAGES, WEALTH POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION, AGGREGATE VARIABILITY, CROSS-COUNTRY EXPERIENCE, CIVIL WAR, COMMUNITY POWER, DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS, INVESTMENTS, ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT, HOUSEHOLD INCOME, INFRASTRUCTURE, ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS, PUBLIC EXPENDITURES, ASSET RATIO, INEQUITY, SOCIAL UNREST, CASH CROPS, EXPROPRIATION, HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENTS, VIOLENCE, WEALTH, POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION