African Swine Fever threatens People's Republic of China
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China is home to around half global hog population and the highest per capita consumption of pork and pork products (FAOSTAT, 2014). An incursion of ASF into China would therefore have devastating consequences for animal health, food safety, and food security, with the possibility of further spread to South East Asia and the Korean Peninsula. In this preliminary study, a qualitative rapid hazard identification is presented, including the evaluation of the different drivers conditions, or potential activities posibly playing a role in the introduction of ASF into China from infected countries. As further activity, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted to address various risk questions involving the potential entry of African Swine Fever Virus (ASFV), identification of risk pathways, the likelihood of exposure of domestic pigs to the virus, the potential further spread, and the persistence of the disease.
