Government policy and Dynamic supply Response: A study of the Compulsory Grain Delivery System
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The impact of government policy on the dynamics of agricultural supply in the 1980s
is explored. Specifically, an intertemporal acreage allocation model that allows for
the impact of compulsory grain delivery is developed. Subsequently, an estimable
dynamic acreage demand equation is derived, and estimated for a crop using regionlevel
data. Generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators for dynamic panel data models are used. The elasticity estimates thus obtained suggest that the
demand for crop acreage (and hence the supply of crop output) responded negatively to the level of forced grain procurement, and positively to output price.