National Transfer Accounts Analysis for Sri Lanka

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Washington, DC

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Sri Lanka has been going through a demographic transition triggered by decreasing fertility and increasing life expectancy. The demographic transition is marked by two stages. During the first stage, the drop in new births reduces the under-age dependency ratio, while the proportion of working age population expands. This reduction in dependency ratio due to declining fertility, frequently referred to as the demographic bonus, is associated with an increased pace of economic development due to the larger share of working age population relative to the total population, and the smaller pool of dependents that workers have to support. In the second stage of the demographic transition, the consistently low fertility rates in combination with increased life expectancy for the elderly, lead to the relative expansion of the old-age dependency ratio. As the demographic transition enters the second stage, the demographic bonus deteriorates. As Sri Lanka is going through a demographic transition, it is important to take stock of the ways labor income is produced and consumed by different age groups. Similarly, when a deficit or a gap between consumption and labor income emerges, it is important to know what type of expenditures drive it and how it is financed. This paper documents labor income and consumption patterns by age group in Sri Lanka, in a manner that is comparable to work carried out for other countries that participate in the National Transfer Accounts Project.

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ACCOUNTING, ADULT EDUCATION, AGE DISTRIBUTION, AGING, CROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONS, DECREASING FERTILITY, DEFICIT FINANCING, DEMAND SIDE, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE, DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION, DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS, DEPENDENCY BURDEN, DEPENDENCY RATIO, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DISABILITY, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE, ECONOMIC RESEARCH, ELDERLY, ELDERLY POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, FAMILIES, FERTILITY, FERTILITY RATE, FERTILITY RATES, FOREIGN TRADE, GOVERNMENT SPENDING, HEALTH CARE, HEALTH OUTCOMES, HEALTH POLICY, HEALTH PROBLEMS, HEALTH SERVICES, HEALTH SPENDING, HOUSEHOLD INCOME, HOUSEHOLD LEVEL, HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS, HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS, HUMAN CAPITAL, HUMAN DEVELOPMENT, IMPORTANT POLICY, INCOME TAXES, INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS, INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS, INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION, LABOR FORCE, LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION, LABOR MARKET, LABOR POLICIES, LABOR PRODUCTIVITY, LEGAL STATUS, LIFE EXPECTANCY, LOW FERTILITY, MINISTRY OF EDUCATION, MOTIVATION, NUMBER OF PERSONS, NUTRITIONAL NEEDS, OCCUPATIONS, OLD AGE, OLD-AGE, OPPORTUNITY COST, OUTPATIENT CARE, PARTICIPATION OF WOMEN, PENSIONS, PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION, PER CAPITA INCOME, POLICY RESEARCH, POPULATION GROWTH, POPULATION GROWTH TRENDS, POPULATION SIZE, PRIMARY SCHOOLING, PRIVATE CONSUMPTION, PUBLIC, PUBLIC CONSUMPTION, PUBLIC EDUCATION, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE, PUBLIC HEALTH, PUBLIC HEALTH EXPENDITURE, PUBLIC INVESTMENT, PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION, PUBLIC PROVISION, PUBLIC RESOURCES, PUBLIC SECTOR, PUBLIC SERVICES, PUBLIC SPENDING, PUBLIC SUPPORT, PUBLIC TRANSFER, PUBLIC TRANSFERS, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, RELATIVE IMPORTANCE, REMITTANCE, REMITTANCES, RENTS, RESPECT, RETIREMENT, SAFETY, SAFETY NETS, SAVINGS, SCHOOL AGE, SCHOOL CHILDREN, SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN, SECONDARY SCHOOLING, SECTOR EMPLOYMENT, SERIOUS IMPLICATIONS, SERVANTS, SERVICE UTILIZATION, SKILLED LABOR, SKILLED WORKERS, SOCIAL SAFETY, SOCIAL SAFETY NETS, SOCIAL SECURITY, SOCIAL WELFARE, TAX, TERTIARY EDUCATION, TERTIARY LEVEL, TRANSPORTATION, TREASURY, VOCATIONAL TRAINING, WAGES, WORKER PRODUCTIVITY, YOUNG ADULTS, YOUNG AGE, YOUNG PEOPLE, YOUTH EMPLOYMENT

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