Will they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa

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dc.creatorGruère, Guillaume P.
dc.creatorTakeshima, Hiroyuki
dc.date2012-04
dc.date2024-10-01T13:55:36Z
dc.date2024-10-01T13:55:36Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:35:32Z
dc.descriptionPresumed but unproven trade risks are considered a significant factor in the reluctance of African countries to use potentially beneficial genetically modified (GM) crops. We model a threat from an importer to a local policy maker announcing an upcoming confined field trial of a GM crop as a dynamic game of incomplete information and illustrate our analysis with a stochastic simulation. The results show that provided the cost of threatening is small, and the cost of going out of the country is significant, the importer will threaten to go out and may effectively lower the probability of commercializing a GM crop.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/153085
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/108789
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWiley
dc.rightsLimited Access
dc.sourceGruère, Guillaume P.; Takeshima, Hiroyuki 2012. Will they stay or will they go? The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 94(3): 736-749
dc.subjectbiosafety
dc.subjectinternational trade
dc.subjectpolicy analysis
dc.titleWill they stay or will they go?: The political influence of GM-averse importing companies on biosafety decision makers in Africa
dc.typeJournal Article

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)