From climate risk to resilience: Unpacking the economic impacts of climate change in Kenya

Vista sencilla de ítem
dc.creatorDetelinova, Iva
dc.creatorThomas, Timothy S.
dc.creatorHammond, Wole
dc.creatorArndt, Channing
dc.creatorHartley, Faaiqa
dc.date2023-11-03
dc.date2023-11-06T20:46:11Z
dc.date2023-11-06T20:46:11Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:19:52Z
dc.descriptionSubstantial model variability exists regarding the likely meteorological impact of climate change on Kenya, particularly with respect to future precipitation levels. Significant regional differences are expected, largely due to Kenya’s diverse climate profile. Overall, temperatures are projected to increase while future precipitation levels are highly uncertain. Climate change is expected to significantly affect coastal areas, including because of sea level rise risks, stronger winds, and an overall warmer and drier climate. This will likely harm important ecosystems, including wetlands, mangroves, and coral reefs. Some models project that arid and semi-arid areas may become drier and hotter, which would exacerbate preexisting water scarcity and agricultural challenges for the already vulnerable communities living there. That said, these projections are not corroborated by all models. The climate change impact on other areas, particularly south and west of Mount Kenya, could generally be positive, as it would provide even better conditions for agriculture. The key climate change risk for Kenya is from extreme events, in particular droughts and floods. The frequency and intensity of such events is likely to increase because of climate change. They also often lead to adverse knock-on effects, such as soil erosion, land degradation, and pest breakouts. Overall, Kenya’s updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) (2020) estimates that between 2010 and 2020, adverse climate change-related events led to annual socioeconomic losses of 3–5 percent of total gross domestic product (GDP).
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/132775
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/101312
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.publisherAfrican Climate Foundation
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceDetelinova, Iva; Thomas, Timothy S.; Hammond, Wole; Arndt, Channing; and Hartley, Faaiqa. 2023. From climate risk to resilience: Unpacking the economic impacts of climate change in Kenya. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute; Cape Town: The African Climate Foundation.
dc.subjectextreme weather events
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectprecipitation
dc.subjectecosystems
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectwater scarcity
dc.subjectdrought
dc.subjectflooding
dc.titleFrom climate risk to resilience: Unpacking the economic impacts of climate change in Kenya
dc.typeReport

Archivos

Colecciones

Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)