Predicting the Corn Basis in the Texas Triangle Area

dc.creatorWelch, J. Mark
dc.creatorMkrtchyan, Vardan
dc.creatorPower, Gabriel J.
dc.date2017-04-01T19:17:07Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T05:14:02Z
dc.descriptionShifting patterns of corn use as a result of the ethanol boom may be causing basis levels to change across the United States, creating the need for methods to predict basis levels in dynamic conditions. This study develops a new and straightforward economic model of basis forecasting that outperforms the simple three-year average method suggested in much of the literature. We use monthly data of the corn basis in the Texas Triangle Area from February 1997 to July 2008. The results show the new model based on economic fundamentals performs better than basis estimates using a three-year moving average.
dc.identifierOther:0738-8950
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.90657
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/90657/files/JAB_Spr-Fall09__04_pp49-63.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/90657
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/560868
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/90657
dc.titlePredicting the Corn Basis in the Texas Triangle Area
dc.typeText

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