Forecast of rural gross social output value in Jiangsu Province based on optimized grey model

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We establish the optimized grey model with logarithm new development coefficient by screening according to the latest statistical data during 2007 in Jiangsu Province. Empirical analysis and prediction research on rural gross social output value in Jiangsu Province from the year 2008 to 2012 are carried out. Result shows that the rural gross social output value in Jiangsu Province in 2008 reached 6 169.697 billion yuan, and will be 9 511.017 billion yuan at the end of 2010, which is about 6.690 times of that in the year 2000. Target of the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” is expected to be realized smoothly.

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http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/556294

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https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/53469/files/Forecast%20of%20rural%20gross%20social%20output%20value%20in%20Jiangsu%20Province%20based%20on%20optimized%20grey%20model.pdf

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University of Minnesota